Analysis & Projections

Current Issues & Trends


Past Issues & Trends

December Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts non-OPEC production decline in 2016 December 9, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oilexports/importsoil/petroleumprices

October Short-Term Energy Outlook lowers crude price forecast for 2016 November 12, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oiloil/petroleumprices

Household heating costs are expected to be lower than previous two winters October 6, 2015

HGL (hydrocarbon gas liquid)STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)electricityexports/importsheating oilnatural gaspricespropanerevenuesalesweather

Effects of Removing Restrictions on U.S. Crude Oil Exports September 1, 2015

Congressional & other requestscrude oilexports/importsgasolinepetroleum productspipelinespricesproduction/supplyrefining

EIA lowers crude oil price forecast through 2016 August 19, 2015

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oilgasolineliquid fuelsoil/petroleumprices

August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowers crude price forecast for 2015 and 2016 August 12, 2015

BrentOPECWTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oiloil/petroleumpricesproduction/supply

Sales of Fossil Fuels Produced from Federal and Indian Lands, FY 2003 through FY 2014 July 17, 2015

Congressional & other requestscoalcrude oilliquid fuelsmost popularnatural gasproduction/supplyquarterlyrecurringreservesstates

Summer gasoline prices are lowest in years July 14, 2015

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)gasolineprices

June Short-Term Energy Outlook reduces crude oil price forecast based on supply June 10, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oiloil/petroleumprices

Increases in U.S. crude oil production are predominantly light, sweet crude June 4, 2015

crude oilproduction/supply

EIA projects 56% of crude oil production growth between 2014 and 2020 will consist of light sweet grades June 3, 2015

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2015crude oilliquid fuelsoil/petroleumproduction/supply

Levelized cost comparisons help explain value of various electric generation technologies June 3, 2015

electricitygeneration

U.S. Crude Oil Production to 2025: Updated Projection of Crude Types May 28, 2015

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)Congressional & other requestscrude oiloil/petroleumproduction/supplyreserves

Proposed Clean Power Plan rule cuts power sector CO2 emissions to lowest level since 1980s May 26, 2015

CO2 (carbon dioxide)EPA (Environmental Protection Agency)electricityemissionsgeneration

U.S. retail gasoline prices lowest since 2009 heading into Memorial Day weekend May 22, 2015

BrentCaliforniaSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)gasolinepricesstates

EIA updates crude oil price forecast for 2015 and 2016 May 13, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)drillingexports/importsproduction/supply

Projected electric capacity additions are below recent historical levels May 11, 2015

capacityelectricitygenerating capacitygeneration

Implications of Increasing Light Tight Oil Production for U.S. Refining May 5, 2015

Congressional & other requestsoil/petroleumproduction/supplyrefiningtight oil

Increasing domestic production of crude oil reduces net petroleum imports April 21, 2015

crude oilexports/importsliquid fuelsproduction/supply

Updated Buildings Sector Appliance and Equipment Costs and Efficiency April 15, 2015

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)commercialefficiencyresidential

Retail gasoline prices for summer 2015 are projected to be more than $1/gallon lower than last summer April 8, 2015

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)gasolineoil/petroleumprices

Summer gasoline prices to be down more than $1 from last summer April 8, 2015

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)gasolineoil/petroleumprices

Technical options for processing additional light tight oil volumes within the United States April 6, 2015

Congressional & other requestscrude oilexports/importsoil/petroleumproduction/supplytight oil

Direct Federal Financial Interventions and Subsidies in Energy in Fiscal Year 2013 March 13, 2015

Congressional & other requestsbiofuelscoalelectricityfinancial marketsliquid fuelsnuclearoil/petroleumrenewablessolarwind

Refinery Outages: First Half 2015 February 26, 2015

crude oildieselgasolineliquid fuelsoil/petroleumoutagesrecurringrefineriesrefining

Availability and Price of Petroleum and Petroleum Products Produced in Countries Other Than Iran, The February 26, 2015

Congressional & other requestsIranOPECconsumption/demandcrude oilexports/importsnon-OPECoil/petroleumpetroleum productspipelinespricesproduction/supplyquarterlyrecurringreserves

EIA expects gasoline demand to increase by nearly 1% in 2015 February 11, 2015

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)consumption/demandgasolineprices

Assessment of Interval Data and Their Potential Application to Residential Electricity End-Use Modeling, An February 10, 2015

CBECS (Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey)Congressional & other requestsRECS (Residential Energy Consumption Survey)consumption/demandelectricityresidential

Drivers of U.S. Household Energy Consumption, 1980-2009 February 3, 2015

Congressional & other requestsRECS (Residential Energy Consumption Survey)consumption/demandefficiencyenergy efficiencyexports/importsmost popularresidential

NEMS Freight Transportation Module Improvement Study February 3, 2015

Congressional & other requestsNEMS (National Energy Modeling System)transportation

Market balances are reflected in changing futures price spreads January 28, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)financial marketsfuturesinventories/stocksoil/petroleumprices

Market expectations of oil price uncertainty have increased in recent months January 14, 2015

BrentOPECSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oilinventories/stocksliquid fuelsoil/petroleumrig counttight oil

Market expectations of oil price uncertainty have increased in recent months January 14, 2015

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oilliquid fuelsprices

Availability and Price of Petroleum and Petroleum Products Produced in Countries Other Than Iran, The December 18, 2014

Congressional & other requestsIranOPECconsumption/demandcrude oilexports/importsnon-OPECoil/petroleumpetroleum productspipelinespricesproduction/supplyquarterlyrecurringreserves

Lower crude oil prices further reduce expected spending on heating oil this winter December 17, 2014

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)crude oildistillate fuelexports/importsheating oiloil/petroleumprices

OPEC net oil export revenues expected to fall in 2014 and 2015 December 17, 2014

OPECfinancial marketsinternationalliquid fuelsoil/petroleum

U.S. household gasoline expenditures in 2015 on track to be the lowest in 11 years December 16, 2014

gasolineliquid fuelsoil/petroleumpricestransportation

EIA forecasts $68-per-barrel average Brent crude price in 2015 while recognizing high price uncertainty December 10, 2014

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oiloil/petroleumprices

Hydrocarbon Gas Liquids (HGL): Recent Market Trends and Issues November 25, 2014

HGL (hydrocarbon gas liquid)NGL (natural gas liquids)ethaneexports/importsinventories/stocksliquid fuelsnatural gasoil/petroleumpricesproduction/supplypropanestoragetransportation

Increased natural gas production would meet most demand from added LNG exports November 12, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014natural gaspricesproduction/supply

Issues in International Energy Consumption Analysis: Electricity Usage in India’s Housing Sector November 7, 2014

Indiaelectricityexports/importsinternationalresidential

After record injections, natural gas storage levels now within 7% of 5-year average November 7, 2014

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)electricitygenerationinventories/stocksnatural gasstorageweather

Availability and Price of Petroleum and Petroleum Products Produced in Countries Other Than Iran, The October 30, 2014

Congressional & other requestsIranOPECconsumption/demandcrude oilexports/importsnon-OPECoil/petroleumpetroleum productspipelinespricesproduction/supplyquarterlyrecurringreserves

What Drives U.S. Gasoline Prices? October 30, 2014

BrentCongressional & other requestsWTI (West Texas Intermediate)consumption/demandcrude oilexports/importsgasolineoil/petroleumpricesproduction/supplyspot pricestransportation

Effect of Increased Levels of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on U.S. Energy Markets October 29, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014Congressional & other requestsLNG (liquefied natural gas)consumption/demandexports/importsinternationalnatural gaspipelinespricesproduction/supply

Price Elasticities for Energy Use in Buildings of the United States October 22, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014NEMS (National Energy Modeling System)buildingscommercialconsumption/demanddistillate fuelelectricityexports/importsnatural gaspricesresidential

Behavioral Economics Applied to Energy Demand Analysis: A Foundation October 15, 2014

NEMS (National Energy Modeling System)commercialconsumption/demandenergy efficiencyindustrialresidentialtransportation

Less severe weather means lower expected household heating bills this winter October 7, 2014

HGL (hydrocarbon gas liquid)STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)electricityheating oilliquid fuelsnatural gaspropaneweather

EIA's forecast of 2014 gasoline use has risen 2 billion gallons (1.6%) in past 10 months September 10, 2014

STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)exports/importsgasoline

Average Brent crude oil prices trade within $5 per barrel range for 13 months in a row August 21, 2014

BrentSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)crude oilliquid fuelsoil/petroleum

Bakken fuels North Dakota’s oil production growth August 4, 2014

BakkenNorth Dakotacrude oilliquid fuelsoil/petroleumproduction/supplyreservesstates

Oil prices drive projected enhanced oil recovery using carbon dioxide July 30, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014WTI (West Texas Intermediate)crude oiloil/petroleumproduction/supplyreserves

As cash flow flattens, major energy companies increase debt, sell assets July 29, 2014

financial markets

Natural gas injection season continues on pace for record refill July 28, 2014

inventories/stocksnatural gasstorageweather

Fuel economy and average vehicle cost vary significantly across vehicle types July 22, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014gasolinevehicles

Recent improvements in petroleum trade balance mitigate U.S. trade deficit July 21, 2014

crude oilexports/importsliquid fuelsoil/petroleum

Light-duty vehicles’ share of transportation energy use is projected to fall July 18, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014exports/importsrailtransportation

EIA projects modest needs for new electric generation capacity July 16, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014electricitygenerating capacitygenerationpower plants

Significant fuel economy improvement options exist for light-duty gasoline vehicles July 15, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy)EPA (Environmental Protection Agency)alternative fuelsgasolineliquid fuelsregulationrenewablesstandardsvehicles

Flickr page and other tools make EIA data more accessible July 14, 2014

states

UK became a net importer of petroleum products in 2013 July 3, 2014

United Kingdomcrude oilexports/importsinternationaloil/petroleum

Fuel economy standards drive down projected gasoline use; diesel use, product exports rise June 26, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014EPA (Environmental Protection Agency)dieselemissionsgasolineliquid fuelspolicyregulation

Projected growth in natural gas-fired generation is influenced by resource availability June 13, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014electric generationelectricity generating fuel mix

Crude-by-rail transportation provides Bakken Shale production access to major markets June 10, 2014

Bakkencrude oiloil/petroleumrailshale

Power sector CO2 emissions sensitive to policy changes and natural gas supply June 9, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014CO2 (carbon dioxide)electric generationelectricity generating fuel mixemissions

NOAA predicts relatively quiet Atlantic hurricane season June 4, 2014

BakkenMarcellusSTEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)crude oildisruptionoil/petroleumproduction/supplyweather

China promotes both fuel efficiency and alternative-fuel vehicles to curb growing oil use May 13, 2014

Chinaconsumption/demandgasolineliquid fuelssales

EIA releases complete Annual Energy Outlook 2014 report May 7, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014

Implications of low electricity demand growth April 30, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014consumption/demandelectric generationelectricityemissionsgenerating capacitygeneration

Lower U.S. electricity demand growth would reduce fossil fuels’ projected generation share April 30, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014CO2 (carbon dioxide)coalgenerationnatural gasnuclearsolar

Variations in AEO2014 renewable electricity projections April 29, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standards)biomasselectric generationelectricityelectricity generating fuel mixgenerationgeothermalhydroelectricpolicyrenewablessolarwaste-to-energywind

Implications of accelerated power plant retirements April 28, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014coalelectricitygenerating capacitygenerationpower plants

Implications of lower natural gas prices on industrial production April 23, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014industrialnatural gasoil/petroleumpricesproduction/supplyresources

No Sunset and Extended Policies cases April 21, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014CAFE (Corporate Average Fuel Economy)exports/importsindustrialregulationresidentialstandardstransportation

Light-duty vehicle energy demand: demographics and travel behavior April 16, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014CO2 (carbon dioxide)emissionsvehicles

Potential for liquefied natural gas use as a railroad fuel April 14, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014LNG (liquefied natural gas)

U.S. tight oil production: Alternative supply projections and an overview of EIA’s analysis of well-level data aggregated to the county level April 7, 2014

AEO (Annual Energy Outlook)AEO2014exports/importsoil/petroleumpricesproduction/supplytight oil

Oil futures price curve has steepened over the past six months September 20, 2013

financial marketsfuturesliquid fuelsoil/petroleumprices