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Analysis & Projections

Annual Energy Outlook 2023

Release Date: March 16, 2023 Next Release Date: Spring 2025 AEO NarrativePDF
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Annual Energy Outlook 2023

Projections Tables for Side Cases

Annual Energy Outlook cases High oil and gas supply Low oil and gas supply High oil price Low oil price High economic growth Low economic growth High zero-carbon technology cost Low zero-carbon technology cost
All year-by-year tables by case XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 4. Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 5. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 6. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 7. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 8. Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 9. Electricity Generating Capacity XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 10. Electricity Trade XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 11. Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 12. Petroleum and Other Liquids Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 13. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 14. Oil and Gas Supply XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 15. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 16. Renewable Energy Generating Capacity and Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 17. Renewable Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 18. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 19. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End Use XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 20. Macroeconomic Indicators XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX

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Annual Energy Outlook Combination cases High economic growth and high zero-carbon technology cost High economic growth and low zero-carbon technology cost Low economic growth and high zero-carbon technology cost Low economic growth and low zero-carbon technology cost
All year-by-year tables by case XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 4. Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 5. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 6. Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 7. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 8. Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 9. Electricity Generating Capacity XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 10. Electricity Trade XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 11. Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 12. Petroleum and Other Liquids Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 13. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 14. Oil and Gas Supply XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 15. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 16. Renewable Energy Generating Capacity and Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 17. Renewable Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 18. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 19. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End Use XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 20. Macroeconomic Indicators XLSX XLSX XLSX XLSX

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Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Low uptake of the IRA No IRA High uptake of the IRA
All year-by-year tables by case XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 4. Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 5. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 6. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 7. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 8. Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 9. Electricity Generating Capacity XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 10. Electricity Trade XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 11. Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 12. Petroleum and Other Liquids Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 13. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 14. Oil and Gas Supply XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 15. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 16. Renewable Energy Generating Capacity and Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 17. Renewable Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 18. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 19. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End Use XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 20. Macroeconomic Indicators XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 21. Residential Sector Equipment Stock and Efficiency, and Distributed Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 22. Commercial Sector Energy Consumption, Floorspace, Equipment Efficiency, and Distributed Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 23. Industrial Sector Macroeconomic Indicators XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 24. Refining Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 25. Food Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 26. Paper Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 27. Bulk Chemical Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 28. Glass Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 29. Cement and Lime Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 30. Iron and Steel Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 31. Aluminum Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 32. Metal-based Durables Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 33. Other Manufacturing Industry Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 34. Nonmanufacturing Sector Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 38. Light-Duty Vehicle Sales by Technology Type XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 39. Light-Duty Vehicle Stock by Technology Type XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 40. Light-Duty Vehicle Miles per Gallon by Technology Type XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 41. Light-Duty Vehicle Miles Traveled by Technology Type XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 42. Summary of New Light-Duty Vehicle Size Class Attributes XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 43. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Fuel Consumption by Type and Technology XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 44. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Sales by Type and Technology XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 45. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Stock by Type and Technology XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 46. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Vehicle Miles Traveled by Type and Technology XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 47. Air Travel Energy Use XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 48. Aircraft Stock XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 49. Freight Transportation Energy Use XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 50. Technology Market Penetration in Light-Duty Vehicles XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 51. New Light-Duty Vehicle Fuel Economy XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 52. New Light-Duty Vehicle Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 53. New Light-Duty Vehicle Range XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, United States XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.1. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region. Texas Reliability Entity XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.2. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Florida Reliability Coordinating Council XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.3. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Midcontinent ISO / West XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.4.Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Midcontinent ISO / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.5. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Midcontinent ISO / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.6. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Midcontinent ISO / South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.7. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New England XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.8. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / NYC & Long Island XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.9. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / Upstate New York XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.10. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, PJM / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.11. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region,PJM / West XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.12. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, PJM / Commonwealth Edison XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.13. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, PJM / Dominion XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.14. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, SERC Reliability Corporation / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.15. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, SERC Reliability Corporation / Southeastern XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.16. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, SERC Reliability Corporation / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.17. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Southwest Power Pool / South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.18.Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Southwest Power Pool / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.19. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Southwest Power Pool / North XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.20. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Southwest XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.21. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California North XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.22. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.23. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Northwest Power Pool Area XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.24. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Rockies XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 54.25. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Basin XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 55. Overnight Capital Costs for New Electricity Generating Plants XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, United States XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.1. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Texas Reliability Entity XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.2. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Florida Reliability Coordinating Council XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.3. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Midcontinent ISO / West XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.4. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Midcontinent ISO / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.5. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Midcontinent ISO / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.6. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Midcontinent ISO / South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.7.Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New England XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.8. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / NYC & Long Island XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.9. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Northeast Power Coordinating Council / Upstate New York XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.10. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, PJM / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.11. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, PJM / West XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.12. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, PJM / Commonwealth Edison XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.13. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, PJM / Dominion XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.14. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, SERC Reliability Corporation / East XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.15.Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, SERC Reliability Corporation / Southeastern XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.16. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, SERC Reliability Corporation / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.17. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Southwest Power Pool / South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.18. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Southwest Power Pool / Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.19. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel,Southwest Power Pool / North XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.20. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Southwest XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.21. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California North XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.22. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California South XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.23. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Northwest Power Pool Area XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.24. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Rockies XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 56.25. Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel, Western Electricity Coordinating Council / Basin XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.1. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, New England XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.2. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, Middle Atlantic XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.3. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, East North Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.4. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, West North Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.5. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, South Atlantic XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.6. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, East South Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.7. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, West South Central XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.8. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, Mountain XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 57.9. Components of Selected Petroleum Product Prices, Pacific XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 58. Lower 48 Crude Oil Production and Wellhead Prices by Supply Region XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 59. Lower 48 Natural Gas Production and Supply Prices by Supply Region XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 60. Natural Gas Imports and Exports XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 61. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Census Division XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 62. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Census Division XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 63. Primary Natural Gas Flows Entering Natural Gas Market Module Region from Neighboring Regions XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 64. Coal Production and Minemouth Prices by Region XLSX XLSX XLSX

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Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) High LNG Price Fast Builds Plus High LNG Price Low LNG Price
All year-by-year tables by case XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 4. Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 5. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 6. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 7. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 8. Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 9. Electricity Generating Capacity XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 10. Electricity Trade XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 11. Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 12. Petroleum and Other Liquids Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 13. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 14. Oil and Gas Supply XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 15. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 16. Renewable Energy Generating Capacity and Generation XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 17. Renewable Energy Consumption by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 18. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Sector and Source XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 19. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End Use XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 20. Macroeconomic Indicators XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 59. Lower 48 Natural Gas Production and Supply Prices by Supply Region XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 60. Natural Gas Imports and Exports XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 61. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Census Division XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 62. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Census Division XLSX XLSX XLSX
Table 63. Primary Natural Gas Flows Entering Natural Gas Market Module Region from Neighboring Regions XLSX XLSX XLSX

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