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‹ Analysis & Projections

Short-Term Energy Outlook

Release Date: Apr. 9, 2024  |  Forecast Completed: Apr. 4, 2024  |  Next Release Date: May. 7, 2024  |  Full Report    |   Text Only   |   All Tables   |   All Figures

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2024
U.S. hydropower generation expected to increase by 6% in 2024 following last year’s lows April 2024
Mild winter weather may lead to persistently high natural gas inventories through 2025 April 2024
How accurate were EIA’s Winter Fuels Outlook forecasts? April 2024
Four countries could account for most near-term petroleum liquids supply growth March 2024
What is the outlook for the natural gas spot price in 2024 and 2025? February 2024
What is the outlook for crude oil prices in 2024 and 2025? January 2024
A look back at our forecast for global crude oil prices in 2023 January 2024
2023
How do different crude oil prices affect U.S. crude oil and natural gas production? November 2023
What effect have sanctions had on Russia’s production of petroleum and other liquids? November 2023
Winter Fuels Outlook 2023–24 October 2023
EIA now publishes a short-term forecast of the propane spot price September 2023
Small-scale solar accounts for about one-third of U.S. solar power capacity September 2023
How do hurricane-related outages affect gasoline production and prices? July 2023
U.S. LNG exports will increase next year as two export terminals come online July 2023
Uncoupling diesel consumption and economic growth June 2023
Improved water supply conditions in California and Southwest increase regional hydropower outlook May 2023
Typical U.S. household electricity bills this summer to be similar to last year's May 2023
How do household gasoline costs change under different crude oil price scenarios? April 2023
Oil production to shift away from OPEC April 2023
EIA expands publication of short-term forecasts for U.S. power plants' generating capacity March 2023
Market Drivers and Other Factors Affecting Natural Gas Prices February 2023 PDF
How is the mix of fuels used to produce electricity in the United States changing? February 2023
Why oil prices will fall in 2023 and 2024, with three factors to watch January 2023
2022
Sources of Price Volatility in the ERCOT Market October 2022 PDF
2022-2023 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2022 PDF
California Hydropower May 2022 PDF
2022 Summer Electricity Outlook May 2022 PDF
2022 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2022 PDF
2021
2021-2022 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2021 PDF
Forecast Sensitivity of Carbon Dioxide Emissions to Temperatures July 2021 PDF
2021 Summer Electricity Outlook May 2021 PDF
2021 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2021 PDF
Developments in Global Oil Consumption January 2021 PDF
2020
2020-2021 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2020 PDF
2020 Summer Electricity Industry Outlook June 2020 PDF
2020 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2020 PDF
2010 - 2019
2019
2019-2020 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2019 PDF
Expanded Forecasts for Wholesale Electricity Prices and Electricity Generation and Fuel Consumption August 2019 PDF
2019 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2019 PDF
2018
2018-2019 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2018 PDF
2018 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2018 PDF
2017
2017-2018 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2017 PDF
Expanded Forecast for Renewable Energy Capacity and Generation July 2017 PDF
2017 Summer Fuels Outlook April 2017 PDF
International Data Revisions and the STEO Forecast February 2017 PDF
2016
2016-2017 Winter Fuels Outlook October 2016 PDF
2016 Summer Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2016 PDF
The Short-Term Outlook for Hydrocarbon Gas Liquids March 2016 PDF
2015
Changes to the Natural Gas Storage Regions December 2015 PDF
2015-2016 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2015 PDF
2015 Outlook for Gulf of Mexico Hurricane-Related Production Outages June 2015 PDF
2015 Summer Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2015 PDF
2014
Weather Sensitivity in Natural Gas Markets October 2014 PDF
2014-2015 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2014 PDF
Uncertainties in the Short-Term Global Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply Forecast February 2014 PDF
2014 Summer Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2014 PDF
2013
Energy-weighted Industrial Production Indices December 2013 PDF
2013-2014 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2013 PDF
EIA Estimates of Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply Disruptions September 2013 PDF
Status of Libyan Loading Ports and Oil and Natural Gas Fields September 2013 PDF
2013 Outlook for Gulf of Mexico Hurricane-Related Production Outages June 2013 PDF
2013 Summer Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2013 PDF
Key drivers for EIA's short-term U.S. crude oil production outlook February 2013 PDF
Constraints in New England likely to affect regional energy prices this winter January 2013 PDF
2012
2012-2013 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2012 PDF
Change in STEO Regional and U.S. Degree Day Calculations September 2012 PDF
Changes to Electricity and Renewables Tables August 2012 PDF
2012 Outlook for Hurricane-Related Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2012 PDF
2012 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2012 PDF
2011
2011-2012 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2011 PDF
2011 Outlook for Hurricane-Related Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2011 PDF
STEO Notice: Suspension of Regional Residential Heating Oil and Propane Price Forecast June 2011 PDF
2011 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2011 PDF
2010
Changes in Natural Gas Monthly Consumption Data Collection and the Short-Term Energy Outlook December 2010 PDF
2010-2011 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2010 PDF
The 2010 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2010 PDF
Probabilities of Possible Future Prices April 2010 PDF
2010 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2010 PDF
Outlook for non-OPEC Oil Supply in 2010-2011 January 2010 PDF
2000 - 2009
2009
2009-2010 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2009 PDF
Energy Price Volatility and Forecast Uncertainty October 2009 PDF
The 2009 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2009 PDF
Biodiesel Supply and Consumption April 2009 PDF
2009 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2009 PDF
2008
2008-2009 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2008 PDF
The 2008 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2008 PDF
2008 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2008 PDF
Motor Gasoline Consumption 2008: A Historical Perspective and Short-Term Projections April 2008 PDF
Outlook for Non-OPEC Oil Supply Growth in 2008-2009 February 2008 PDF
2007
Why Are Oil Prices So High? November 2007 PDF
2007-2008 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2007 PDF
Natural Gas in the Rocky Mountains: Developing Infrastructure September 2007 PDF
The 2007 Outlook for Hurricane Impacts on Gulf of Mexico Crude Oil & Natural Gas Production June 2007 PDF
U.S. LNG Imports – The Next Wave January 2007 PDF
2006
2006-2007 Winter Fuels Outlook Slideshow October 2006 PDF
Why Are Oil Prices So High? August 2006 PDF
Summer 2006 Motor Gasoline Prices July 2006 PDF
The Impact Of Tropical Cyclones on Gulf of Mexico Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production June 2006 PDF
Final Reduced Form Energy Model Elasticities from EIA's Regional Short-Term Energy Model (RSTEM) May 2006 PDF
2006 Summer Transportation Fuels Outlook Slideshow April 2006 PDF
2005
Winter Fuels Tables: 2005-2006 October 2005 PDF
2005 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2005 PDF
2004
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2004-2005 October 2004 PDF
2004 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2004 PDF
2003
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2003-2004 October 2003 PDF
2003 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2003 PDF
Motor Gasoline Outlook and State MTBE Bans April 2003 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 (Selected graph and table updates) March 2003 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 (Selected graph and table updates) February 2003 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 (Selected graph and table updates) January 2003 PDF
2002
Interim Data Changes in the Short-term Energy Outlook Data Systems Related to Electric Power Sector and Natural Gas Demand Data Revisions December 2002 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 (Selected graph and table updates) December 2002 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 (Selected graph and table updates) November 2002 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2002-2003 October 2002 PDF
2002 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2002 PDF
2001
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2001-2002 October 2001 PDF
Electricity Shortage in California: Issues for Petroleum and Natural Gas Supply June 2001 PDF
2001 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2001 PDF
MTBE Production Economics April 2001 PDF
2000
Winter Fuels Outlook: 2000-2001 October 2000 PDF
2000 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 2000 PDF
1993 - 1999
1999
MTBE, Oxygenates, and Motor Gasoline October 1999 PDF
Winter Fuels Outlook: 1999-2000 October 1999 PDF
The Impact of Temperature Trends on Short-Term Energy Demand September 1999 PDF
Demand and Price Outlook for Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline, 2000 August 1999 PDF
Areas Participating in the Oxygenated Gasoline Program July 1999 PDF
Areas Participating in the Reformulated Gasoline Program June 1999 PDF
1999 Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook April 1999 PDF
1998
Environmental Regulations and Changes in Petroleum Refining Operations June 1998 PDF
Oxygenate Supply/Demand Balances in the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting Model March 1998 PDF
Refiners Switch to RFG Complex Model January 1998 PDF
Reformulated Gasoline Foreign Refinery Rules January 1998 PDF
1996
Recent Trends in Crude Oil Stock Levels June 1996 PDF
1995
U.S. Refining Capacity Utilization October 1995 PDF
1994
Demand, Supply, and Price Outlook for Reformulated Motor Gasoline, 1995 July 1994 PDF
1993
Demand, Supply, and Price Outlook for Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel August 1993 PDF