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Annual Energy Outlook 2018

Full Release Date: February 6, 2018   |  Next Release Date:  January 2019   |  full report

Annual Energy Outlook 2018 Case Descriptions

Release date: August 6, 2018


Uncertainty surrounds economic growth, future oil prices, the ultimate endowment of domestic energy resources, and technological change. To capture that uncertainty, EIA ran sensitivity cases to show how the model responds to changes in key input variables compared with the Reference case. The seven sensitivity cases covered in the Annual Energy Outlook 2018 (AEO2018) are described in this document:

  • Reference
  • High Economic Growth
  • Low Economic Growth
  • High Oil Price
  • Low Oil Price
  • High Oil and Gas Resource and Technology
  • Low Oil and Gas Resource and Technology

All seven of the core cases were run with and without the Clean Power Plan (CPP) included.

Table 1 provides the formal case names, scenario names, and date keys. Results for all AEO2018 cases are available on the AEO table browser.

In addition, because AEO2018 was a full edition of the AEO (which occurs every other year), EIA ran additional cases to support Issues in Focus analysis on specific topics, also described in this document:

  • Nuclear power costs
  • Alternative policies
  • Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
  • Autonomous vehicles