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June 25, 2012

AEO2012 has energy projections and analyses of legislation, regulations, and side cases

graph of Annual Energy Outlook 2012 webpage, as described in the article text
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Interactive Table Browser.

The Annual Energy Outlook 2012 (only available in .PDF file format until later this week) includes many cases that provide alternate projections of energy markets under a variety of different assumptions. Detailed model results through 2035 are available in an interactive table browser along with extensive analysis of energy issues, regulations, and legislation in the complete report.

The regularly completed alternate side cases examine high and low assumptions for:

  • Macroeconomic growth
  • World oil prices
  • Utility and end-use technology advancements
  • Fossil fuel technology costs
  • Coal prices
  • Nuclear technology
  • Renewable technology
  • Oil and gas resources

Additional alternate side cases examine several specific energy issues, including the impact of extended and expanded tax credit and efficiency programs; the potential energy impacts of higher vehicle fuel efficiency; the potential of natural gas as fuel for heavy-duty vehicles; the changing environment for fuel use in electricity generation; U.S. crude oil and natural gas resource uncertainty; and the potential impact of minimum pipeline throughput constraints on Alaska North Slope oil production.

Also included are reviews of particular legislation and regulation topics such as state air emissions regulations, state renewable energy requirements and Federal emissions regulations, as well as comparisons to energy projections from others.