forecasts/projections
May 19, 2025U.S. hydropower generation expected to rise in 2025 following last year’s relative low
May 15, 2025
EIA forecasts world oil consumption growth to slow amid less economic activity
May 14, 2025
U.S. electricity prices continue steady increase
May 13, 2025
After more than a decade of little change, U.S. electricity consumption is rising again
April 15, 2025
U.S. energy consumption growth decreases in the near term in the latest AEO
April 14, 2025
Eagle Ford natural gas production increases as crude oil production holds steady
April 3, 2025
How will the start-up timing of the new U.S. LNG export facilities affect our forecast?
March 27, 2025
The United States remained the world’s largest liquefied natural gas exporter in 2024
March 19, 2025
EIA forecasts Alaska crude oil production will grow in 2026 for the first time since 2017
March 11, 2025
First liquefied natural gas cargo produced at Corpus Christi Stage 3 export facility
January 27, 2025
Forecast wholesale power prices and retail electricity prices rise modestly in 2025
January 24, 2025
New solar plants expected to support most U.S. electric generation growth
January 23, 2025
EIA expects higher wholesale U.S. natural gas prices as demand increases
January 22, 2025
U.S. retail gasoline prices to decrease in 2025 and 2026 with lower crude oil price
January 21, 2025
EIA forecasts lower oil price in 2025 amid significant market uncertainties
January 17, 2025
A look back at our forecast for global crude oil prices in 2024
January 15, 2025
EIA extends five key energy forecasts through December 2026
January 13, 2025
The eighth U.S. liquefied natural gas export terminal, Plaquemines LNG, ships first cargo
November 25, 2024
Global natural gas market may experience a tighter supply-demand balance this winter
October 8, 2024
Household heating expenditures expected to remain about the same or less than last winter
October 7, 2024
EIA now publishes additional U.S. biofuel and distillate forecasts
October 3, 2024
Data centers and cryptocurrency mining in Texas drive strong power demand growth
September 16, 2024
Development of new fields in Gulf of Mexico to offset production decline in 2024 and 2025
August 21, 2024
Permian production forecast growth driven by well productivity, pipeline capacity
August 7, 2024
What is the outlook for U.S. natural gas inventories at the end of injection season?
June 13, 2024
Typical residential electricity bills could be slightly higher this summer
June 12, 2024
EIA expands coverage of crude oil and natural gas production with regional forecast
May 30, 2024
Our U.S. summer natural gas consumption forecast for electric power matches 2023 record
May 21, 2024
Guyana becomes key contributor to global crude oil supply growth
May 15, 2024
Higher refining costs could increase summer gasoline prices
April 17, 2024
U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects
April 11, 2024
Mild winter weather may lead to persistently high natural gas inventories through 2025
April 10, 2024
How accurate were EIA’s Winter Fuels Outlook forecasts?
March 21, 2024
EIA increases oil price forecast following OPEC+ production cut extension
February 14, 2024
Industry to drive tripling of natural gas consumption in India by 2050
February 12, 2024
What is the outlook for the natural gas spot price in 2024 and 2025?
January 30, 2024
Projected zero-carbon electricity growth highly dependent on cost in parts of Asia
January 29, 2024
U.S. coal exports account for larger share of a shrinking market
January 17, 2024
EIA expects average U.S. gasoline and diesel prices to decrease in 2024 and 2025
January 16, 2024
Solar and wind to lead growth of U.S. power generation for the next two years
January 11, 2024
We expect Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average under $3.00/MMBtu in 2024 and 2025
January 10, 2024
EIA expects relatively flat crude oil prices in 2024 and 2025
January 9, 2024
We expect solar will supply almost all growth in U.S. electricity generation through 2025
December 28, 2023
U.S. electric capacity mix shifts from fossil fuels to renewables in AEO2023
November 30, 2023
Global CO2 emissions rise through 2050 in most IEO2023 cases
November 28, 2023
Lower CO2 emissions are partially due to shifts in power generation sources
November 7, 2023
EIA expects U.S. annual solar electricity generation to surpass hydropower in 2024
October 26, 2023
EIA forecasts winter U.S. household expenditures higher on fuel oil and lower on propane
October 19, 2023
Average U.S. natural gas bills expected to decrease this winter
September 28, 2023
Weather events have reduced our forecast of U.S. hydropower generation by 6% this year
July 31, 2023
Natural gas deliveries to U.S. LNG export facilities set a record in first-half 2023
July 24, 2023
Natural gas prices fall in first half of 2023 amid record production and mild temperatures
July 19, 2023
EIA forecasts crude oil prices will increase through 2024 as demand rises above supply
June 8, 2023
Increased U.S. renewable and natural gas generation likely to reduce summer coal demand
May 24, 2023
EIA explores effects of liquefied natural gas exports on the U.S. natural gas market
May 22, 2023
EIA expects lower crude oil prices for the second half of 2023 and for 2024
May 15, 2023
Incentives and lower costs drive electric vehicle adoption in our Annual Energy Outlook
May 11, 2023
EIA projects coal capacity will decrease in our Annual Energy Outlook 2023
May 10, 2023
Mixed water supply condition across western states affects 2023 hydropower outlook
April 27, 2023
U.S. natural gas production and LNG exports will likely grow through 2050 in AEO2023
April 19, 2023
Forecast retail gasoline prices for summer 2023 will be lower than last summer
April 13, 2023
U.S. electric capacity mix shifts from fossil fuels to renewables in AEO2023
April 11, 2023
U.S. associated natural gas production will likely grow through 2050 in our AEO2023
April 6, 2023
EIA explores effects of Inflation Reduction Act on the Annual Energy Outlook
April 5, 2023
Product Highlight: EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook
April 4, 2023
U.S. production of petroleum and other liquids to be driven by international demand
April 3, 2023
U.S. energy consumption increases between 0% and 15% by 2050
March 16, 2023
EIA projects that U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions will fall through 2050 in AEO2023
February 13, 2023
EIA forecasts U.S. refinery utilization to average more than 90% in 2023 and 2024
January 25, 2023
U.S. crude oil production will increase to new records in 2023 and 2024
January 19, 2023
Increasing renewables likely to reduce coal and natural gas generation over next two years
January 18, 2023
EIA forecasts lower wholesale U.S. natural gas prices in 2023 and 2024
January 12, 2023
EIA expects U.S. gasoline and diesel retail prices to decline in 2023 and 2024
December 12, 2022
Natural gas consumption in the industrial sector has grown slowly in recent years
December 9, 2022
U.S. dry natural gas production set monthly records in 2022; we forecast an annual record
December 6, 2022
Product Highlight: EIA’s Hourly Electric Grid Monitor
November 9, 2022
EIA now expects U.S. natural gas prices to average above $6.00/MMBtu this winter
October 20, 2022
Households primarily heating with heating oil or propane will likely pay more this winter
October 17, 2022
U.S. natural gas bills will increase in all regions this winter
September 16, 2022
EIA forecasts East Coast gasoline inventories will build by the end of 2022
September 14, 2022
EIA forecasts record U.S. natural gas consumption in 2022
August 19, 2022
EIA workshops explore international energy analysis improvements
August 17, 2022
EIA expects production of global liquid fuels to outpace consumption in 2022
August 16, 2022
EIA expects renewables to account for 22% of U.S. electricity generation in 2022
July 28, 2022
Extending investment tax credits through 2050 increases U.S. solar generation by 10%
June 21, 2022
EIA expects nine new Gulf of Mexico natural gas and crude oil fields to start in 2022
June 17, 2022
EIA forecasts growing liquid fuels production in Brazil, Canada, and China through 2023
June 16, 2022
EIA expects significant increases in wholesale electricity prices this summer
June 9, 2022
EIA expects U.S. natural gas prices to remain high through 2022
June 8, 2022
EIA explores effects of weather projections on energy consumption in buildings
June 3, 2022
NERC assessment highlights potential electricity reliability concern for central U.S.
April 4, 2022
EIA explores effects of not building future interstate natural gas pipelines
March 24, 2022
EIA projects U.S. renewable diesel supply to surpass biodiesel in AEO2022
March 21, 2022
EIA projects U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions to fall in the near term, then rise
March 18, 2022
EIA projects that renewable generation will supply 44% of U.S. electricity by 2050
March 16, 2022
EIA expects crude oil prices higher than $100 per barrel in coming months
March 3, 2022
EIA projects U.S. energy consumption will grow through 2050, driven by economic growth
February 23, 2022
Mixed water supply conditions in the Northwest affect 2022 hydropower outlook
February 17, 2022
U.S. marketed natural gas production forecast to rise in 2022 and 2023
February 16, 2022
U.S. crude oil production forecast to rise in 2022 and 2023 to record-high levels
January 28, 2022
EIA forecasts OPEC production will grow in 2022 despite recent production outages in Libya
January 18, 2022
New renewable power plants are reducing U.S. electricity generation from natural gas
January 14, 2022
EIA forecasts natural gas prices to remain near $4/MMBtu in 2022, slightly lower in 2023
January 13, 2022
EIA expects gasoline and diesel prices to fall in 2022 and 2023 as demand growth slows
January 12, 2022
EIA forecasts crude oil prices will fall in 2022 and 2023
December 16, 2021
EIA forecasts U.S. natural gas production will establish a new monthly record high in 2022
November 18, 2021
EIA forecasts crude oil prices will decline during 2022
November 16, 2021
Solar generation was 3% of U.S. electricity in 2020, but we project it will be 20% by 2050
October 25, 2021
EIA forecasts U.S. winter natural gas bills will be 30% higher than last winter
October 6, 2021
EIA projects accelerating renewable consumption and steady liquid fuels growth to 2050
July 15, 2021
Brent crude oil price forecast to average $72 per barrel in the second half of 2021
June 15, 2021
Growing global production limits crude oil price increases in the most recent forecast
May 26, 2021
EIA lowers its forecast of India’s oil demand because of rising COVID-19 cases
May 12, 2021
EIA forecasts less natural gas-fired electricity generation this summer
April 9, 2021
More gasoline expected to be consumed this summer than last, but not more than in 2019
February 17, 2021
EIA forecasts the U.S. will import more petroleum than it exports in 2021 and 2022
February 8, 2021
EIA projects renewables share of U.S. electricity generation mix will double by 2050
January 19, 2021
EIA forecasts less power generation from natural gas as a result of rising fuel costs
December 18, 2020
Several EIA products show what’s happening in current energy markets
November 2, 2020
EIA forecasts more residential natural gas consumption this winter than last
October 21, 2020
EIA forecasts slightly higher U.S. propane consumption this winter season
July 20, 2020
EIA forecasts U.S. petroleum demand will remain below 2019 levels for several more months
July 8, 2020
Mixed water supply conditions affect summer 2020 hydropower outlook in Pacific Northwest
May 26, 2020
EIA forecasts lower U.S. natural gas consumption in 2020
May 15, 2020
EIA expects lower natural gas production in 2020
May 14, 2020
EIA forecasts U.S. crude oil production to fall in 2020 and 2021
March 30, 2020
Several EIA products show what’s happening in current energy markets
March 13, 2020
EIA projects air-conditioning energy use to grow faster than any other use in buildings
March 9, 2020
EIA projects U.S. biofuel production to slowly increase through 2050
March 6, 2020
EIA’s long-term power plant projections trade off the cost and value of new capacity
February 24, 2020
EIA forecasts natural gas inventories will reach record levels later this year
February 18, 2020
EIA revises global liquid fuels demand growth down because of the coronavirus
January 21, 2020
EIA forecasts crude oil prices will fall in the first half of 2020, then rise through 2021
November 21, 2019
EIA increases U.S. crude oil production forecast for 2019 and 2020
October 8, 2019
Winter energy bills in the United States likely to be lower than last year’s
September 17, 2019
Natural gas and wind forecast to be fastest growing sources of U.S. electricity generation
April 17, 2019
Summer 2019 gasoline prices forecast to be lower than last summer
April 2, 2019
U.S. refinery runs hit fifth consecutive annual record high in 2018
January 16, 2019
EIA forecasts world crude oil prices to rise gradually, averaging $65 per barrel in 2020
October 24, 2018
Resumption of Iran sanctions adds uncertainty to crude oil and gasoline price forecasts
October 10, 2018
U.S. home heating bills likely to be slightly higher this winter
August 13, 2018
U.S. refineries running at near-record highs
August 9, 2018
Higher economic growth in Africa could lead to more energy use, especially in industry
July 26, 2018
EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook adds natural gas and hydrocarbon gas liquids charts
July 25, 2018
China’s projected energy consumption mainly depends on its overall growth rate
July 19, 2018
Crossover utility vehicles overtake cars as the most popular light-duty vehicle type
July 11, 2018
Natural gas-fired electricity generation this summer expected to be near record high
July 2, 2018
Coal plant retirements and high summer electricity demand lower Texas reserve margin
June 27, 2018
EIA expects 2018 gasoline prices have peaked
June 18, 2018
Adoption of autonomous vehicles could increase U.S. transportation energy consumption
May 15, 2018
Tax credits and solar tariffs affect timing of projected renewable power plant deployment
May 10, 2018
EIA raises crude oil, gasoline price forecasts for 2018
May 8, 2018
Future of U.S. nuclear power fleet depends mostly on natural gas prices, carbon policies
April 16, 2018
U.S. natural gas production and consumption increase in nearly all AEO2018 cases
April 9, 2018
U.S. crude oil production growth projected to be led by light, sweet crude oil
March 30, 2018
EIA projects that U.S. coal demand will remain flat for several decades
March 6, 2018
Positive U.S. ethanol margins are driving ethanol production growth
February 22, 2018
Tight oil remains the leading source of future U.S. crude oil production
February 12, 2018
The United States is projected to become a net energy exporter in most AEO2018 cases
February 7, 2018
Future U.S. electricity generation mix will depend largely on natural gas prices
February 6, 2018
EIA’s latest Annual Energy Outlook projects rising production, relatively flat consumption
January 25, 2018
EIA expects 2018 and 2019 natural gas prices to remain relatively flat
January 18, 2018
EIA expects total U.S. fossil fuel production to reach record levels in 2018 and 2019
October 12, 2017
Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions expected to fall in 2017 but rise in 2018
October 11, 2017
Winter heating costs likely to be higher this winter than last winter
October 10, 2017
Buildings energy consumption in India is expected to increase faster than in other regions
September 14, 2017
EIA projects 28% increase in world energy use by 2040
August 1, 2017
Maritime chokepoints are critical to global energy security
July 17, 2017
Retail price of regular gasoline forecast to average $2.38 per gallon this summer
July 13, 2017
Brent and WTI crude oil prices expected to average about $50 per barrel through 2018
July 11, 2017
EIA adds small-scale solar photovoltaic forecasts to its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook
June 26, 2017
Future coal production depends on resources and technology, not just policy choices
May 23, 2017
Fuel economy improvements are projected to reduce future gasoline use
May 12, 2017
U.S. nuclear capacity and generation expected to decline as existing generators retire
May 3, 2017
Power plants’ costs and value to the grid are not easily reflected using simple metrics
April 18, 2017
EIA expects natural gas to be largest source of U.S. electricity generation this summer
March 2, 2017
Projected carbon dioxide emissions are sensitive to factors driving fossil fuel use
January 12, 2017
Crude oil prices expected to increase slightly through 2017 and 2018
October 13, 2016
Winter heating bills likely to increase, but still remain below recent winters
July 13, 2016
Retail price of regular gasoline forecast to average $2.25 per gallon this summer
July 11, 2016
EIA projects rise in U.S. crude oil and other liquid fuels production beyond 2017
July 6, 2016
Clean Power Plan implementation choices by states could affect electricity generation mix
June 28, 2016
Extended policies case shows reduced energy use, emissions, more renewables, efficiency
June 7, 2016
Most natural gas production growth is expected to come from shale gas and tight oil plays
June 2, 2016
Higher renewable capacity additions in AEO2016 reflect policy changes and cost reductions
May 27, 2016
U.S. retail gasoline prices lowest since 2009 ahead of Memorial Day weekend
May 26, 2016
Industrial and electric power sectors drive projected growth in U.S. natural gas use
May 17, 2016
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook is a projection, not a prediction
May 12, 2016
EIA projects 48% increase in world energy consumption by 2040
April 20, 2016
Expected decrease in Lower 48 oil production is partially offset by rising GOM output
March 24, 2016
EIA reviews and enhances data and projections for wind and solar electricity
October 6, 2015
Household heating costs are expected to be lower than previous two winters
September 21, 2015
U.S. propane inventories are at an all-time high
September 2, 2015
Effects of removing U.S. crude export restrictions depend on price, resource assumptions
August 19, 2015
EIA lowers crude oil price forecast through 2016
June 4, 2015
Increases in U.S. crude oil production are predominantly light, sweet crude
June 3, 2015
Levelized cost comparisons help explain value of various electric generation technologies
May 27, 2015
Under the proposed Clean Power Plan, natural gas, then renewables, gain generation share
May 26, 2015
Proposed Clean Power Plan rule cuts power sector CO2 emissions to lowest level since 1980s
May 22, 2015
U.S. retail gasoline prices lowest since 2009 heading into Memorial Day weekend
May 11, 2015
Projected electric capacity additions are below recent historical levels
April 29, 2015
U.S. energy demand slows except for industrial, commercial sectors
April 28, 2015
Projections show U.S. becoming a net exporter of natural gas
April 21, 2015
Increasing domestic production of crude oil reduces net petroleum imports
April 15, 2015
U.S. energy imports and exports to come into balance for first time since 1950s
April 14, 2015
EIA's Annual Energy Outlook will be released later today
December 16, 2014
U.S. household gasoline expenditures in 2015 on track to be the lowest in 11 years
November 26, 2014
U.S. gasoline prices this Thanksgiving are the lowest since 2009
November 12, 2014
Increased natural gas production would meet most demand from added LNG exports
November 7, 2014
After record injections, natural gas storage levels now within 7% of 5-year average
October 7, 2014
Less severe weather means lower expected household heating bills this winter
September 11, 2014
Despite decline in some regions, world oil consumption still seen rising
September 10, 2014
EIA's forecast of 2014 gasoline use has risen 2 billion gallons (1.6%) in past 10 months
July 30, 2014
Oil prices drive projected enhanced oil recovery using carbon dioxide
July 28, 2014
Natural gas injection season continues on pace for record refill
July 16, 2014
EIA projects modest needs for new electric generation capacity
June 13, 2014
Projected growth in natural gas-fired generation is influenced by resource availability
June 9, 2014
Power sector CO2 emissions sensitive to policy changes and natural gas supply
June 4, 2014
NOAA predicts relatively quiet Atlantic hurricane season
April 9, 2014
Summer average gasoline price expected to be close to last year's level
March 19, 2014
LED bulb efficiency expected to continue improving as cost declines
February 14, 2014
AEO2014 projects more coal-fired power plant retirements by 2016 than have been scheduled
February 12, 2014
EIA releases assessment of short-term uncertainties for global oil supply
February 7, 2014
Reduced water supply forecast affects hydropower outlook in Pacific Northwest
February 6, 2014
Current drought reduces hydro generation forecast for California
January 13, 2014
U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions in 2013 expected to be 2% higher than in 2012
December 16, 2013
Increased tight oil production, vehicle efficiency reduce petroleum and liquid imports
December 3, 2013
Future world energy demand driven by trends in developing countries
October 8, 2013
Heating costs for most households are forecast to rise from last winter’s level
September 4, 2013
Trends in natural gas storage capacity utilization vary by region
August 9, 2013
China poised to become the world’s largest net oil importer later this year
July 25, 2013
EIA projects world energy consumption will increase 56% by 2040
June 4, 2013
Bulk chemicals industry uses 5% of U.S. energy
May 22, 2013
Extended tax credits could raise projected renewable electricity capacity and generation
May 3, 2013
Transportation fuel use is a key factor in the outlook for U.S. oil imports
April 30, 2013
Extending current energy policies would reduce U.S. energy use, carbon dioxide emissions
April 25, 2013
Long-term outlook for nuclear generation depends on lifetime of existing capacity
April 23, 2013
Future power market shares of coal, natural gas generators depend on relative fuel prices
April 17, 2013
Abundant U.S. supply, low demand could cut dependence on liquid fuel imports
April 15, 2013
EIA releases additional Annual Energy Outlook 2013 content
April 10, 2013
Average summer gasoline prices expected to be slightly lower than in 2012
March 22, 2013
U.S. economy and electricity demand growth are linked, but relationship is changing
February 21, 2013
Dry January lowers the Pacific Northwest water supply forecast for April through September
February 15, 2013
EIA now delivers monthly electricity data in interactive data browser
December 20, 2012
U.S. could become the world’s top liquid fuels producer, but how much does it matter?
December 7, 2012
EIA projections for carbon dioxide emissions reflect changes in key drivers
December 5, 2012
EIA projections show U.S. energy production growing faster than consumption through 2040
November 16, 2012
Population shifts across U.S. regions affect overall heating and cooling needs
October 23, 2012
U.S. coal exports on record pace in 2012, fueled by steam coal growth
October 10, 2012
U.S. households forecast to use more heating fuels this winter compared with last winter
September 14, 2012
Projected Alaska North Slope oil production at risk beyond 2025 if oil prices drop sharply
August 27, 2012
Projected natural gas prices depend on shale gas resource economics
July 2, 2012
EIA’s AEO2012 includes analysis of breakthroughs in vehicle battery technology
June 28, 2012
AEO2012 considers three cases for the future of world oil prices
June 25, 2012
AEO2012 has energy projections and analyses of legislation, regulations, and side cases
February 28, 2012
EIA projects U.S. non-hydro renewable power generation increases, led by wind and biomass
February 22, 2012
Pacific Northwest water supply forecast to be near or below normal for 2012
February 10, 2012
Natural gas and renewable shares of electricity generation to grow, coal still largest
January 26, 2012
Domestic supply of liquid fuels projected to increase, resulting in fewer imports
January 24, 2012
U.S. energy use projected to grow slowly and become less carbon-intensive
January 23, 2012
EIA issues AEO2012 Early Release
November 14, 2011
Strong finish to 2011 natural gas storage injection season on Oct. 31
October 25, 2011
High heating oil prices discourage heating oil supply contracts for the upcoming winter
October 12, 2011
EIA projects record winter household heating oil prices in the Northeast
September 28, 2011
Renewable energy shows strongest growth in global electric generating capacity
September 19, 2011
China and India account for half of global energy growth through 2035
July 14, 2011
Colombia's oil production at highest level since 1999
May 27, 2011
AEO Issues in Focus: Effects of different oil price paths
May 26, 2011
Coal likely to remain most prevalent fuel for electricity generation
May 24, 2011
Capital costs have major impact on projected power sector investments
May 13, 2011
Electricity resource planners credit only a fraction of potential wind capacity
May 3, 2011
Continuation and expansion of efficiency programs could mitigate carbon dioxide emissions
May 2, 2011
Additional appliance standards could significantly reduce residential energy use
April 26, 2011
Annual Energy Outlook 2011 contains extensive analysis of side cases
April 13, 2011
The outlook for transportation fuel markets this summer
March 24, 2011
Electric grid planners: demand response and energy efficiency to increase
March 23, 2011
Incandescent bulbs still play a role in the future of lighting
February 10, 2011