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Electricity Monthly Update

With Data for March 2018  |  Release Date: May 24, 2018  |  Next Release Date: June 26, 2018

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Resource Use: March 2018

Supply and fuel consumption

In this section, we look at the resources used to produce electricity. Generating units are chosen to run primarily on their operating costs, of which fuel costs account for the lion's share. Therefore, we present below, electricity generation output by fuel type and generator type. Since the generator/fuel mix of utilities varies significantly by region, we also present generation output by region.

Generation output by region



map showing electricity regions

Net generation in the United States remained relatively unchanged compared to March 2017. However, changes in electricity generation at the regional-level were much more mixed, with the Northeast, Southeast, Florida, and West all seeing a decrease in electricity generation from the previous year. The Central region and Texas both saw an increase in electricity generation from the previous February, while electricity generation remained unchanged in the MidAtlantic region compared to March 2017.

All regions of the country saw a decrease in electricity generation from coal compared to the previous year. The Southeast saw the largest decrease in electricity from coal, down 2,204 GWh compared to last March. All regions of the country, except for the Northeast and Southeast, saw an increase in electricity generation from natural gas compared to March 2017. The MidAtlantic saw the largest increase in natural gas generation, up 2,039 GWh compared to the previous year.

Nuclear generation increased 3.0% compared to March 2017. This increase occurred because the H B Robinson and Perry nuclear power plants were offline in March 2017, but operated at full capacity this March.

Fossil fuel consumption by region





map showing electricity regions

The chart above compares coal consumption in March 2017 and March 2018 by region and the second tab compares natural gas consumption by region over the same period. Changes in coal and natural gas consumption closely mirrored their respective changes in coal and natural gas generation.

The third tab presents the change in the relative share of fossil fuel consumption by fuel type on a percentage basis, calculated using equivalent energy content (Btu). This highlights changes in the relative market shares of coal, natural gas, and petroleum. In March 2018, all regions of the country saw an increase in the share of natural gas at the expense of coal.

The fourth tab presents the change in coal and natural gas consumption on an energy content basis by region. The changes in total coal and natural gas consumption were similar to the changes seen in total coal and natural gas net generation in each region.

Fossil fuel prices




To gain some insight into the changing pattern of consumption of fossil fuels over the past year, we look at relative monthly average fuel prices. A common way to compare fuel prices is on an equivalent $/MMBtu basis as shown in the chart above. The average price of natural gas at Henry Hub increased slightly from the previous month, going from $2.76/MMBtu in February 2018 to $2.78/MMBtu in March 2018. The natural gas price for New York City (Transco Zone 6 NY) decreased from the previous month, going from $3.26/MMBtu in February 2018 to $2.94/MMBtu in March 2018. For a second consecutive month, the average price of Central Appalachian coal saw an increase from the previous month, going from $2.61/MMBtu in February 2018 to $2.71/MMBtu in March 2018.

The New York Harbor residual oil price saw an increase from the previous month, going from $10.83/MMBtu in February 2018 to $10.96/MMBtu in March 2018. Unlike the beginning of the year, oil used as a fuel for electricity generation was priced out of the market during this month.

A fuel price comparison based on equivalent energy content ($/MMBtu) does not reflect differences in energy conversion efficiency (heat rate) among different types of generators. Gas-fired combined-cycle units tend to be more efficient than coal-fired steam units. The second tab shows coal and natural gas prices on an equivalent energy content and efficiency basis. The price of natural gas at Henry Hub ($22.27/MWh) was below the price of Central Appalachian coal ($29.29/MWh) on a $/MWh basis. The spread between the two increased slightly due to the increase in the price of Central Appalachian coal from the previous month. The price of natural gas at New York City ($23.55/MWh) was below the price of Central Appalachian coal ($29.29/MWh) during March 2018, mainly due to the drop in the price of natural gas at New York City from the previous month.

The conversion shown in this chart is done for illustrative purposes only. The competition between coal and natural gas to produce electricity is more complex. It involves delivered prices and emission costs, the terms of fuel supply contracts, and the workings of fuel markets.

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Resource Use

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