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‹ Analysis & Projections

AEO2016 Early Release: Summary of Two Cases

Release Date: May 17, 2016   |  Full Report Release Date: July 7, 2016   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383ER(2016)

This release is an annotated PowerPoint summary and the data for two cases from the Annual Energy Outlook 2016—the Reference case and the No Clean Power Plan case. The AEO2016 full version, including additional cases and discussion, will be released July 7, 2016.

Download the AEO2016 Early Release: An Annotated Summary of Two Cases

The Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) Early Release features two cases: the Reference case and a case excluding implementation of the Clean Power Plan.

  • Reference case: A business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends. The Reference case assumes Clean Power Plan (CPP) compliance through mass-based standards (emissions reduction in metric tones of carbon dioxide) modeled using allowances with cooperation across states at the regional level, with all allowance revenues rebated to ratepayers.
  • No CPP case: A business-as-usual trend estimate, but assumes that CPP is not implemented.