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Posted December 17, 2025

Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina support forecast crude oil growth in 2026 ›

annual changes in global crude oil production

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), December 2025

We forecast that global crude oil production will increase by 0.8 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2026, with supply from Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina accounting for 0.4 million b/d of the expected global growth forecast in our December Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Global crude oil production growth since 2023 has been driven by countries outside of OPEC+.

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