‹ Analysis & Projections
Annual Energy Outlook 2013
Release Dates: April 15 - May 2, 2013 | Next Early Release Date: December 2013 | | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2013)
Comparison with other projections
| Other projections | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | 2011 | AEO2013 Reference case |
EVA | INFORUMa | IEAb,c | ExxonMobila | IHSGIa |
| 2025 | |||||||
| Average U.S. imported RAC (2011 dollars per barrel) |
102.65 | 113.48 | -- | 126.18 | -- | -- | 91.38 |
| Brent spot price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 111.26 | 117.36 | 78.18 | 136.77 | 135.70c | -- | -- |
| U.S. WTI crude oil price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 94.86 | 115.36 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 93.05 |
| Domestic production | 7.88 | 9.96 | 12.08 | -- | -- | -- | 9.52 |
| Crude oil | 5.67 | 6.79 | 8.44 | 8.57 | -- | -- | 6.86 |
| Alaska | 0.57 | 0.35 | 0.36 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas liquids | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.64 | -- | -- | -- | 2.66 |
| Total net imports | 8.58 | 7.01 | -- | 7.08 | -- | -- | 5.98 |
| Crude oil | 8.89 | 7.05 | -- | 7.08 | -- | -- | 7.36 |
| Products | -0.30 | -0.04 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -1.38 |
| Liquids Consumption | 18.95 | 19.50 | -- | 18.62 | -- | 19.04 | 17.59 |
| Net petroleum import share of liquids supplied (percent) | 44 | 37 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 33 |
| Biofuel production | 0.97 | 1.08 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.18 |
| Transportation product prices (2011 dollars per gallon) | |||||||
| Gasoline | 3.45 | 3.49 | -- | 3.97 | -- | -- | 3.17 |
| Diesel | 3.58 | 3.97 | -- | 4.00 | -- | -- | 3.34 |
| 2035 | |||||||
| Average U.S. imported RAC (2011 dollars per barrel) | 102.65 | 138.70 | -- | 137.97 | -- | -- | 84.51 |
| Brent spot price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 111.26 | 145.41 | 82.16 | 149.55 | 145.00c | -- | -- |
| U.S. WTI crude oil price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 94.86 | 143.41 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 86.25 |
| Domestic production | 7.88 | 9.17 | 12.42 | -- | -- | -- | 9.31 |
| Crude oil | 5.67 | 6.26 | 8.50 | 9.49 | -- | -- | 6.43 |
| Alaska | 0.57 | 0.35 | 0.00 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas liquids | 2.22 | 2.91 | 3.92 | -- | -- | -- | 2.88 |
| Total net imports | 8.58 | 7.00 | -- | 7.40 | -- | -- | 4.67 |
| Crude oil | 8.89 | 7.37 | -- | 7.40 | -- | -- | 7.03 |
| Products | -0.30 | -0.37 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -2.36 |
| Liquids consumption | 18.95 | 18.86 | -- | 19.24 | 15.14 | 18.01 | 16.07 |
| Net petroleum import share of liquids supplied (percent) | 44 | 36 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 28 |
| Biofuel production | 0.97 | 1.13 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.39 |
| Transportation product prices (2011 dollars per gallon) | |||||||
| Gasoline | 3.45 | 3.94 | -- | 4.14 | -- | -- | 2.93 |
| Diesel | 3.58 | 4.55 | -- | 4.06 | -- | -- | 3.06 |
| 2040 | |||||||
| Average U.S. imported RAC (2011 dollars per barrel) |
102.65 | 154.96 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 79.46 |
| Brent spot price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 111.26 | 162.68 | 87.43 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| US. WTI crude oil price (2011 dollars per barrel) | 94.86 | 160.68 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 81.20 |
| Domestic production | 7.88 | 9.05 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 9.31 |
| Crude oil | 5.67 | 6.13 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 6.43 |
| Alaska | 0.57 | 0.41 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas liquids | 2.22 | 2.92 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.88 |
| Total net imports | 8.58 | 6.91 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4.11 |
| Crude oil | 8.89 | 7.57 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 6.71 |
| Products | -0.30 | -0.67 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -2.60 |
| Liquids consumption | 18.95 | 18.95 | -- | -- | -- | 17.50 | 15.48 |
| Net petroleum import share of liquids supplied (percent) | 44 | 35 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 25 |
| Biofuel production | 0.97 | 1.33 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.44 |
| Transportation product prices (2011 dollars per gallon) | |||||||
| Gasoline | 3.45 | 4.32 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.78 |
| Diesel | 3.58 | 4.94 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.91 |
-- = not reported. |
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