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Annual Energy Outlook 2023 Case Descriptions

Release date: March 16, 2023

Overview

Factors such as economic growth, future oil prices, the ultimate size of domestic energy resources, and technological change are often uncertain. To illustrate some of these uncertainties, EIA runs side cases to show how the model responds to changes in key input variables compared with the Reference case. The various cases covered in the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023) are described in this document. AEO2023 has thirteen core cases:

  • Reference
  • High Economic Growth
  • Low Economic Growth
  • High Oil Price
  • Low Oil Price
  • High Oil and Gas Supply
  • Low Oil and Gas Supply
  • High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost
  • Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost
  • High Economic Growth-High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost
  • High Economic Growth-Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost
  • Low Economic Growth-High Zero-Carbon Technology Cost
  • Low Economic Growth-Low Zero-Carbon Technology Cost

Table 1 provides the formal case names, scenario names, and date keys. Results for all AEO2023 cases are available in the AEO table browser.