Analysis & Projections

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Weekly Reports

 
Today in Energy - Projections

Short, timely articles with graphs about recent analyses and projections.

     

Monthly Reports

 
Short-Term Energy Outlook

Released: May 7, 2013

Short-term energy supply, demand, and price projections through 2013 for U.S. and International oil forecasts (archived versions)

 
Market Prices and Uncertainty Report

Released: May 7, 2013

This is a regular monthly supplement to the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook. (archived versions)

 
     

Quarterly Reports

 
Availability and Price of Petroleum and Petroleum Products Produced in Countries Other Than Iran, The

Released: April 25, 2013

This report was prepared in fulfillment of Section 1245(d)(4)(A) of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2012, which requires that, not later than 60 days from enactment and every 60 days thereafter, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) "submit to Congress a report on the availability and price of petroleum and petroleum products produced in countries other than Iran in the 60-day period preceding the submission of the report." (archived versions)

 
     

Annual Reports

 
Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook

Released: May 14, 2013

This report presents the major assumptions of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) used to generate the projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2012, including general features of the model structure, assumptions concerning energy markets, and the key input data and parameters that are the most significant in formulating the model results. (archived versions)

 
Annual Energy Outlook

Released: April 15, 2013

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) today released additional content of Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013), updating and expanding on the early release version of AEO2013 Reference case released in December 2012. Today's release includes a Legislation and Regulations section that discusses evolving issues, a Market Trends section that highlights projections for energy markets, and a comparison of AEO2013 with projections from other organizations. Additional components of AEO2013 will be issued over the coming weeks. (archived versions)

AEO Retrospective Review

Released: March 15, 2013

The Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review provides a yearly comparison between realized energy outcomes and the Reference case projections included in previous AEOs beginning with 1982. This edition of the report adds the AEO 2012 projections and updates the historical data to incorporate the latest data revisions. (archived versions)

 
Supplemental Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook

Released: June 25, 2012

The AEO Supplemental tables were generated for the reference case of the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) using the National Energy Modeling System, a computer-based model which produces annual projections of energy markets. Most of the tables were not published in the AEO, but contain regional and other more detailed projections underlying the AEO projections. (archived versions)

Potential Impacts of Reductions in Refinery Activity on Northeast Petroleum Product Markets

Released: February 27, 2012

Potential Impacts of Reductions in Refinery Activity on Northeast Petroleum Product Markets is an update to a previous EIA report, Reductions in Northeast Refining Activity: Potential Implications for Petroleum Product Markets, released in December 2011. This update analyzes possible market responses and impacts in the event Sunocos Philadelphia refinery closes this summer, in addition to the recently idled refineries on the East Coast and in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

 
International Energy Outlook

Released: September 19, 2011

This report presents international energy projections through 2035, prepared by the Energy Information Administration, including outlooks for major energy fuels and associated carbon dioxide emissions. (archived versions)

 
Short-Term Energy Outlook, Summer Motor Gasoline Outlook, 2011

Released: April 12, 2011

Projection of motor gasoline prices, supply, and demand for the upcoming summer driving season.

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