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International Energy Outlook 2014

Release Date: September 9, 2014   |  Next Release Date: September 2015   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2014)

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Table 5. World other liquids by fuel type, 2010-40
million barrels per day
Source 2010 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual
percent change
2010-40
OPEC
NGPL 3.27 3.97 4.25 4.51 4.89 5.43 1.7
Biofuelsa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 --
Coal-to-liquids 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 --
Gas-to-liquids 0.01 0.27 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.42 14.1
Kerogen 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 --
Refinery gain 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.9
Total OPEC 3.32 4.28 4.60 4.91 5.33 5.91 1.9
Non-OPEC
NGPL 5.13 5.92 6.40 6.69 6.96 7.27 1.2
Biofuelsa 1.33 1.83 2.11 2.42 2.70 2.97 2.7
Coal-to-liquids 0.17 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.87 1.05 6.2
Gas-to-liquids 0.06 0.06 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.19 3.9
Kerogen 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.6
Refinery gain 2.30 2.48 2.56 2.68 2.78 2.89 0.8
Total Non-OPEC 9.00 10.62 11.71 12.65 13.63 14.37 1.6
World
NGPL 8.40 9.89 10.64 11.20 11.85 12.71 1.4
Biofuelsa 1.33 1.83 2.11 2.42 2.70 2.97 2.7
Coal-to-liquids 0.17 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.87 1.05 6.2
Gas-to-liquids 0.07 0.33 0.43 0.51 0.57 0.61 7.6
Kerogen 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.6
Refinery gain 2.34 2.52 2.61 2.73 2.83 2.94 0.8
Total OPEC 12.32 14.90 16.31 17.56 18.83 20.27 1.7
aEthanol volumes are reported on a motor-gasoline-equivalent basis.
Sources: EIA, Office of Energy Analysis, Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas & Biofuels Analysis. Projections: EIA, Generate World Oil Balance application (2014), run IEO2014_GWOB_RefCase.xlsx.