‹ IEO Home

International Energy Outlook 2013

Release Date: July 25, 2013   |  Next Release Date: July 2014   |  correction |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2013)

‹ back to Chapter 9
Table 22. Average annual changes in Kaya factors by region and country in the Reference case, 2010-2040
percent per year
Region/Country Carbon intensity
of energy supply
(CO2/E)
Energy intensity of
economic activity
(E/GDP)
Income per person
(GDP/POP)
Population
(POP)
Carbon dioxide
emissions
OECD          
OECD Americas -0.3 -2.1 -1.9 0.8 0.3
United States -0.3 -2.3 -1.8 0.9 0.0
Canada -0.4 -1.1 1.2 1.0 0.6
Mexico/Chile -0.4 -1.1 2.9 0.7 2.1
OECD Europe -0.4 -1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0
OECD Asia -0.3 -1.0 1.7 -0.1 0.2
Japan -0.1 -0.6 1.0 -0.4 -0.1
South Korea -0.5 -1.9 3.2 0.1 0.8
Australia/New Zealand -0.4 -1.5 1.3 0.9 0.3
Total OECD -0.3 -1.6 1.8 0.4 0.2
Non-OECD          
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia -0.2 -2.5 3.8 0.0 1.0
Russia -0.3 -1.7 3.0 -0.2 0.8
Other -0.2 -2.9 4.3 0.1 1.2
Non-OECD Asia -0.4 -2.7 4.8 0.6 2.1
China -0.5 -2.9 5.7 0.0 2.1
India -0.5 -3.2 5.1 1.0 2.3
Other -0.2 -2.1 3.3 0.9 1.9
Middle East -0.2 -0.3 0.7 1.5 1.7
Africa -0.3 -2.4 2.7 1.8 1.8
Central and South America -0.3 -1.6 2.5 0.7 1.3
Brazil -0.3 -1.3 2.9 0.5 1.8
Other -0.1 -2.0 2.3 0.9 1.0
Total non-OECD -0.3 -2.5 3.8 0.9 1.9
World Total -0.2 -2.1 2.8 0.8 1.3
Source: Calculated using: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2012), www.eia.gov/ies; IHS Global Insight, World Overview (Lexington, MA: fourth quarter 2012); Oxford Economics Model (October 2012); and EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2013).