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International Energy Outlook 2014

Release Date: September 9, 2014   |  Next Release Date: September 2015   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2014)

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Table 10. World coal production by region, 2010-2040
million short tons
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual percent change, 2010-2040
OECD Americas 1,171 1,138 1,174 1,217 1,256 1,272 1,283 0.3
United States 1,084 1,046 1,080 1,119 1,156 1,169 1,177 0.3
Canada 75 81 83 85 87 90 93 0.7
Mexico/Chile 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 0.3
OECD Europe 620 583 568 552 537 522 504 -0.7
OECD Asia 476 549 540 580 591 641 687 1.2
Japan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --
South Korea 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 -0.9
Australia/New Zealand 473 547 537 578 589 638 685 1.2
Total OECD 2,267 2,271 2,282 2,349 2,384 2,434 2,474 0.3
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia 684 663 707 746 775 805 820 0.6
Russia 359 373 400 421 434 447 446 0.7
Other 325 290 307 325 341 358 374 0.5
Non-OECD Asia 4,625 5,310 6,903 6,631 7,116 7,438 7,478 1.6
China 3,506 4,130 4,725 5,257 5,633 5,829 5,722 1.6
India 612 624 696 776 850 926 993 1.6
Other 508 557 582 598 633 683 762 1.4
Middle East 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3.6
Africa 286 315 358 400 432 462 501 1.9
Central and South America 91 131 145 168 195 209 224 3.0
Brazil 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 0.5
Other 85 125 139 162 189 203 217 3.2
Total non-OECD 5,688 6,422 7,216 7,948 8,521 8,919 9,026 1.6
Total world 7,954 8,693 9,499 10,297 10,905 11,353 11,500 1.2
Note: With the exception of North America, nonseaborne coal trade is not represented in EIA's projections. As a result, the projected levels of
production assume that net nonseaborne coal trade will balance out across the IEO2013 regions. Currently, a significant amount of nonseaborne coal trade takes place in Eurasia, represented by exports of steam coal from Kazakhstan to Russia and exports of coking coal from Russia to Ukraine.
Source: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2012), www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2013) and IEO2013 National Energy Modeling System, run IEO2013.D031113A.