Annual Energy Outlook 2013
Release Dates: April 15 - May 2, 2013 | Next Early Release Date: December 2013 | | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2013)
Comparison with other projections
| Other projections | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | 2011 | AEO2013 Reference case |
EVA | IHSGI | INFORUM | ICF | NREL |
| 2025 | 2026 | ||||||
| Average end-use price (2011 cents per kilowatthour)a |
9.9 | 9.5 | -- | 11.2 | 10.0 | -- | 10.4 |
| Residential | 11.7 | 11.6 | -- | 13.3 | 11.8 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 10.2 | 9.7 | -- | 11.6 | 10.3 | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 6.8 | 6.5 | -- | 7.6 | 6.8 | -- | -- |
| Total generation including CHP plus imports | 4,130 | 4,612 | 4,570 | 5,207 | 4,296 | 4,860 | 4,693 |
| Coal | 1,730 | 1,727 | 1,726 | 1,605 | -- | -- | 1,860 |
| Petroleum | 28 | 18 | -- | 33 | -- | -- | 0 |
| Natural gasb | 1,000 | 1,252 | 1,387 | 1,732 | -- | -- | 1,041 |
| Nuclear | 790 | 912 | 890 | 923 | -- | -- | 794 |
| Hydroelectric/otherc | 544 | 681 | 567 | 852 | -- | -- | 997 |
| Net imports | 37 | 22 | -- | 62 | -- | -- | -- |
| Electricity salesd | 3,725 | 4,140 | 4,311 | 4,712 | 4,095 | -- | 4,487 |
| Residential | 1,424 | 1,488 | 1,750 | 1,756 | 1,536 | -- | -- |
| Commercial/othere | 1,326 | 1,466 | 1,824 | 1,709 | 1,526 | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 976 | 1,186 | 736 | 1,246 | 1,033 | -- | -- |
| Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts)f | 1,049 | 1,098 | 1,141 | 1,237 | -- | 1,135 | 1,146 |
| Coal | 318 | 276 | 255 | 278 | -- | 249 | 273 |
| Oil and natural gas | 463 | 500 | 568 | 555 | -- | 546 | 515 |
| Nuclear | 101 | 114 | 108 | 115 | -- | 106 | 102 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | 167 | 208 | 210 | 289 | -- | 234 | 257 |
| Cumulative capacity retirements from 2011 (gigawatts)h | -- | 82 | 151 | 83 | -- | 106 | 102 |
| Coal | -- | 49 | 73 | 46 | -- | 73 | 33 |
| Oil and natural gas | -- | 32 | 73 | 36 | -- | 29 | 69 |
| Nuclear | -- | 1 | 3 | 1 | -- | 3 | 0 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | -- | 1 | 2 | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 2035 | |||||||
| Average end-use price (2011 cents per kilowatthour)a |
9.9 | 10.1 | -- | 11.9 | 10.5 | -- | 11.7 |
| Residential | 11.7 | 12.1 | -- | 14.1 | 12.2 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 10.2 | 10.1 | -- | 12.3 | 10.6 | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 6.8 | 7.1 | -- | 8.1 | 7.1 | -- | -- |
| Total generation including CHP plus imports | 4,130 | 4,989 | 5,005 | 5,870 | 4,601 | 5,339 | 4,847 |
| Coal | 1,730 | 1,807 | 1,754 | 1,463 | -- | -- | 1,703 |
| Petroleum | 28 | 18 | -- | 35 | -- | -- | 0 |
| Natural gasb | 1,000 | 1,519 | 1,701 | 2,271 | -- | -- | 1,730 |
| Nuclear | 790 | 875 | 839 | 953 | -- | -- | 510 |
| Hydroelectric/otherc | 544 | 760 | 711 | 1,074 | -- | -- | 904 |
| Net imports | 37 | 10 | -- | 73 | -- | -- | -- |
| Electricity salesd | 3,725 | 4,421 | 4,923 | 5,316 | 4,406 | -- | 4,824 |
| Residential | 1,424 | 1,661 | 2,116 | 2,001 | 1,718 | -- | -- |
| Commercial/othere | 1,326 | 1,618 | 2,292 | 1,983 | 1,710 | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 976 | 1,142 | 515 | 1,332 | 978 | -- | -- |
| Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts)f | 1,049 | 1,206 | 1,263 | 1,420 | -- | 1,285 | 1,253 |
| Coal | 318 | 277 | 255 | 260 | -- | 245 | 238 |
| Oil and natural gas | 463 | 587 | 655 | 676 | -- | 665 | 654 |
| Nuclear | 101 | 109 | 103 | 120 | -- | 80 | 67 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | 167 | 233 | 250 | 364 | -- | 295 | 294 |
| Cumulative capacity retirements from 2011 (gigawatts)h | -- | 100 | 161 | 115 | -- | 133 | 243 |
| Coal | -- | 49 | 77 | 68 | -- | 82 | 70 |
| Oil and natural gas | -- | 44 | 74 | 38 | -- | 29 | 138 |
| Nuclear | -- | 6 | 9 | 9 | -- | 21 | 35 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | -- | 1 | 2 | -- | -- | 0 | 0 |
| 2040 | |||||||
| Average end-use price (2011 cents per kilowatthour)a |
9.9 | 10.8 | -- | 12.2 | -- | -- | 12.0 |
| Residential | 11.7 | 12.7 | -- | 14.4 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 10.2 | 10.8 | -- | 12.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 6.8 | 7.8 | -- | 8.3 | -- | -- | -- |
| Total generation including CHP plus imports | 4,130 | 5,230 | 5,479 | 6,189 | -- | -- | 4,913 |
| Coal | 1,730 | 1,829 | 1,740 | 1,418 | -- | -- | 1,620 |
| Petroleum | 28 | 18 | -- | 36 | -- | -- | 0 |
| Natural gasb | 1,000 | 1,582 | 2,330 | 2,506 | -- | -- | 1,870 |
| Nuclear | 790 | 903 | 756 | 991 | -- | -- | 442 |
| Hydroelectric/otherc | 544 | 879 | 653 | 1,164 | -- | -- | 981 |
| Net imports | 37 | 18 | -- | 73 | -- | -- | -- |
| Electricity salesd | 3,725 | 4,608 | 5,238 | 5,602 | -- | -- | 4,940 |
| Residential | 1,424 | 1,767 | 2,303 | 2,116 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial/othere | 1,326 | 1,697 | 2,528 | 2,109 | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial | 976 | 1,145 | 407 | 1,378 | -- | -- | -- |
| Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts)f | 1,049 | 1,293 | -- | 1,495 | -- | -- | 1,295 |
| Coal | 318 | 278 | -- | 251 | -- | -- | 224 |
| Oil and natural gas | 463 | 632 | -- | 722 | -- | -- | 691 |
| Nuclear | 101 | 113 | -- | 125 | -- | -- | 58 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | 167 | 270 | -- | 396 | -- | -- | 322 |
| Cumulative capacity retirements from 2011 (gigawatts)h | -- | 103 | -- | 128 | -- | -- | 276 |
| Coal | -- | 49 | -- | 80 | -- | -- | 86 |
| Oil and natural gas | -- | 46 | -- | 38 | -- | -- | 146 |
| Nuclear | -- | 7 | -- | 9 | -- | -- | 44 |
| Hydroelectric/otherg | -- | 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 |
-- = not reported. |
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