•Tight world petroleum
markets translate to high crude
oil prices and higher product cracks
•Imports likely to be
more expensive due to U.S. product
specification changes & high world demand
•Increased potential of
U.S. price volatility from:
–Tight world markets
(low inventories),
–Increasing number of
fuels,
–High U.S. capacity
utilization
•But higher product
margins near term may encourage
more U.S. refinery capacity expansion