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Table 4. Estimation Results for PAD Districts
 
Dependent Variable: D(RETPAD1) Dependent Variable: D(RETPAD2) Dependent Variable: D(RETPAD3) Dependent Variable: D(RETPAD4) Dependent Variable: D(RETPAD5)
Sample: 3/06/1995 8/13/2001 Sample: 3/06/1995 8/13/2001 Sample: 3/06/1995 8/13/2001 Sample: 3/06/1995 8/13/2001 Sample: 3/13/1995 8/13/2001
Variable Coefficient Variable Coefficient Variable Coefficient Variable Coefficient Variable Coefficient
C 0.011 C 0.008 C 0.010 C 0.004 C 0.003
(0.051) (0.044) (0.043) (0.045) (0.047)
DSPOTPAD1(-1) 0.500*** DSPOTPAD2(-1) 0.373*** DSPOTPAD3(-1) 0.436*** DSPOTPAD4(-1) 0.173*** DSPOTPAD5(-1) 0.467***
(0.019) (0.031) (0.016) (0.017) (0.019)
DSPOTPAD1(-2) 0.230*** DSPOTPAD2(-2) 0.246*** DSPOTPAD3(-2) 0.283*** DSPOTPAD4(-2) 0.168*** DSPOTPAD5(-2) 0.222***
(0.019) (0.016) (0.016) (0.017) (0.021)
DSPOTPAD1(-2) 0.125*** DSPOTPAD2(-3) 0.060*** DSPOTPAD3(-3) 0.101*** DSPOTPAD4(-3) 0.122*** DSPOTPAD5(-3) 0.086***
(0.019) (0.016) (0.016) (0.017) (0.021)
DSPOTPAD1(-4) 0.058*** DSPOTPAD2(-4) 0.069*** DSPOTPAD3(-4) 0.076*** DSPOTPAD4(-4) 0.090*** DSPOTPAD5(-4) 0.116***
(0.019) (0.016) (0.016) (0.018) (0.019)
DSPOTPAD1(-5) 0.041** DSPOTPAD2(-5) 0.029* DSPOTPAD3(-5) 0.060*** DSPOTPAD4(-5) 0.089***
(0.019) (0.016) (0.016) (0.018)
DSPOTPAD5(-6) 0.055***
(0.016)
DSPOTPAD5(-8) 0.058***
(0.017)
DPSPOTUSGC(-1) 0.159*** DSPOTPNW(-1) 0.111
(0.032) (0.019)
DSPOTPNW(-2) 0.053**
(0.022)
DSPOTPNW(-3) 0.049**
(0.022)
DSPOTPNW(-4) 0.069***
(0.022)
DSPOTPNW(-5) 0.046**
(0.022)
DSPOTPNW(-6) 0.062***
(0.018)
Sum of Spot Lags 0.953 Sum of Spot Lags 0.935 Sum of Spot Lags 0.956 Sum of Spot Lags 1.032 Sum of Spot Lags 1.004
Adj. R^2 0.748 Adj. R^2 0.810 Adj. R^2 0.771 Adj. R^2 0.721 Adj. R^2 0.824
S.E. Regression 0.933 S.E. Regression 0.811 S.E. Regression 0.786 S.E. Regression 0.831 S.E. Regression 0.854
AIC 2.716777 AIC 2.438364 AIC 2.374428 AIC 2.503568 AIC 2.541831
F-statistic 200.1 F-statistic 239.5 F-statistic 227.3 F-statistic 79.9 F-statistic 263.2
D.W. statistic 1.85 D.W. statistic 2.21 D.W. statistic 1.95 D.W. statistic 1.54 D.W. statistic 1.71

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