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Short-Term Energy Outlook

Release Date: November 7, 2017  |  Next Release Date: December 12, 2017  |  Full Report    |   Text Only   |   All Tables   |   All Figures

Coal

  • EIA expects the share of U.S. total utility-scale electricity generation from natural gas will fall from an average of 34% in 2016 to about 31% in 2017 as a result of higher natural gas prices and increased generation from renewables and coal. Coal's forecast generation share rises from 30% last year to 31% in 2017. The projected annual generation shares for natural gas and coal in 2018 are 32% and 31%, respectively. Generation from renewable energy sources other than hydropower grows from 8% in 2016 to a forecast share of about 9% in 2017 and 10% in 2018. Generation from nuclear energy accounts for almost 20% of total generation in each year from 2016 through 2018.
  • Coal production for the first 10 months of 2017 is estimated to have been 656 million short tons (MMst), 59 MMst (10%) higher than production for the same period in 2016. Annual production is expected to be about 790 MMst in both 2017 and 2018.
U.S. Coal Summary
  2015 2016 2017 2018
Prices (dollars per million Btu)
Electric Power Sector 2.23 2.11 2.13 2.20
Supply (million short tons)
U.S. Coal Production 896.9 728.4 789.9 787.9
Imports 11.3 9.8 8.7 9.3
Exports 74.0 60.3 82.4 72.7
Consumption (million short tons)
Electric Power Sector 738.4 677.3 675.4 682.4
Other Sectors 59.7 52.3 52.0 51.1
Total Consumption 798.1 729.6 727.5 733.6
End of Period Inventories (million short tons)
Electric Power Sector 195.5 163.9 147.7 148.9
Total Inventories 238.4 203.3 184.6 185.0

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