NPRA 2007 Annual Meeting
Insight from Europe on Where Diesel Prices May Settle Down?
Source: Bloomberg NW Europe 0.2% Heating Oil and 10 ppm Diesel
SWe have also been watching European ULSD prices to see if we can gain any insights that might carry over into U.S. ULSD price behavior.

SEurope went through its transition to ULSD in 2005, so it has had a little more time for the market to settle.

SSince some areas in Europe moved to ULSD in advance of 2005, price information is available before 2005.  This chart shows Europe’s ULSD’s premium over heating oil since early 2003.  It shows some extra price pressure at the end of 2004 and spring of 2005, but prices seem to have settled at about 10 cents per gallon over heating oil.   U.S. ULSD spread over heating oil was about 15 cents in December.