Table B15.  Crude Oil Supply and Disposition, High Rocky Mountain 
Access Comparisons
(Continued)
(Million Barrels per Day, Unless Otherwise Noted)

Supply, Disposition, and Prices

2015

2020

Refer- ence

Accelerated Depletion

Accelerated Depletion

Refer- ence

Accelerated Depletion

Accelerated Depletion

High Access

High Access

High Access

High Access

Improved Produc- tivity Tech- nology

Rapid Tech- nology

Improved Produc- tivity Tech- nology

Rapid Tech- nology

Lower 48 Average Wellhead Price1

                   

(1998 dollars per barrel)

20.96

21.06

21.02

20.71

20.71

21.27

21.21

21.26

21.16

21.07

                     

Production2

                   

  U.S. Total

5.39

5.10

5.10

5.84

5.86

5.47

5.18

5.18

5.96

5.94

     Lower 48 Onshore

3.22

3.17

3.16

3.51

3.52

3.36

3.39

3.37

3.76

3.71

        Conventional

2.54

2.49

2.48

2.72

2.72

2.65

2.67

2.65

2.96

2.92

        Enhanced Oil Recovery

0.69

0.68

0.69

0.79

0.80

0.71

0.72

0.73

0.80

0.79

     Lower 48 Offshore

1.54

1.30

1.31

1.50

1.51

1.60

1.33

1.34

1.54

1.57

     Alaska

0.63

0.63

0.63

0.82

0.82

0.51

0.47

0.47

0.66

0.66

                     

Net Crude Imports

11.28

11.59

11.57

10.87

10.84

11.39

11.70

11.69

10.91

10.93

                     

Total Crude Supply

16.67

16.68

16.67

16.70

16.70

16.86

16.88

16.88

16.87

16.87

                     

Natural Gas Plant Liquids

2.28

2.17

2.20

2.34

2.45

2.38

2.07

2.13

2.41

2.66

Other Inputs3

0.30

0.29

0.29

0.30

0.31

0.32

0.31

0.31

0.32

0.32

Refinery Processing Gain4

1.11

1.10

1.10

1.11

1.11

1.12

1.11

1.10

1.12

1.10

                     

Net Product Imports5

3.50

3.68

3.62

3.37

3.22

4.42

5.16

4.97

4.40

4.13

                     

Total Primary Supply6

23.85

23.91

23.88

23.82

23.78

25.10

25.52

25.39

25.12

25.08

                     

Refined Petroleum Products Supplied

                   

  Residential and Commercial

0.99

1.00

1.00

0.99

1.00

0.96

0.96

0.96

0.96

0.97

  Industrial7

5.81

5.83

5.82

5.79

5.77

6.03

6.12

6.10

6.03

6.01

  Transportation

16.89

16.85

16.86

16.90

16.92

17.94

17.90

17.88

17.95

18.02

  Electric Generators8

0.18

0.27

0.24

0.16

0.11

0.17

0.56

0.47

0.18

0.09

    Total

23.87

23.95

23.92

23.84

23.80

25.10

25.54

25.42

25.12

25.08

                     

Discrepancy9

-0.03

-0.03

-0.03

-0.02

-0.01

0.00

-0.02

-0.02

0.00

0.00

                     

L48 End Year Reserves (billion barrels)2

14.05

13.41

13.41

14.93

14.97

13.86

13.45

13.46

14.97

14.88

Back to Appendix B: Model Results

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File last modified: August 18, 2000

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