‹ Analysis & Projections

International Energy Outlook 2011

Release Date: September 19, 2011   |  Next Scheduled Release Date: July 2013   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2011)

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Table 9. World coal flows by importing and exporting regions, Reference case, 2009, 2020, and 2035 (quadrillion Btu)
Exporters   Importers
Steam Coking Total
Europea Asia Americas Totalb Europea Asiac Americas Totalb Europea Asia Americas Totalb
            2009            
Australia 0.05 3.31 0.10 3.47 0.38 3.17 0.13 3.68 0.42 6.48 0.23 7.15
United States 0.24 0.02 0.21 0.46 0.57 0.15 0.30 1.02 0.81 0.17 0.51 1.48
Southern Africa 0.85 0.62 0.02 1.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.85 0.62 0.02 1.58
Eurasia 1.10 0.56 0.00 1.66 0.08 0.11 0.00 0.20 1.19 0.67 0.00 1.86
Poland 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.12
Canada 0.00 0.14 0.01 0.15 0.10 0.45 0.06 0.60 0.10 0.59 0.07 0.75
China 0.00 0.55 0.00 0.55 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.57 0.00 0.57
South Americad 1.05 0.00 0.69 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.00 0.69 1.75
Vietnam 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.61
Indonesiae 0.40 4.40 0.06 4.87 0.00 0.48 0.00 0.48 0.40 4.89 0.06 5.36
Total 3.80 10.20 1.09 15.20 1.14 4.38 0.49 6.03 4.94 14.59 1.58 21.23
2020
Australia 0.05 4.15 0.00 4.20 0.32 3.89 0.39 4.60 0.37 8.04 0.39 8.80
United States 0.32 0.14 0.04 0.50 0.67 0.63 0.51 1.81 0.99 0.77 0.55 2.31
Southern Africa 0.93 1.01 0.02 1.96 0.21 0.20 0.00 0.40 1.13 1.21 0.02 2.36
Eurasia 1.47 0.51 0.09 2.07 0.07 0.21 0.00 0.28 1.54 0.72 0.09 2.35
Poland 0.10 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.00 0.01 0.14
Canada 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.32 0.47 0.08 0.87 0.43 0.47 0.08 0.98
China 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.66 0.00 0.66
South Americad 2.08 0.00 1.45 3.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08 0.00 1.45 3.52
Vietnam 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.31
Indonesiae 0.00 6.58 0.16 6.74 0.01 0.49 0.00 0.50 0.01 7.07 0.16 7.24
Total 5.05 13.34 1.76 20.16 1.62 5.91 0.98 8.51 6.67 19.25 2.75 28.67
2035
Australia 0.07 7.53 0.00 7.59 0.33 4.45 0.73 5.51 0.39 11.97 0.73 13.10
United States 0.39 0.21 0.03 0.63 0.62 0.50 0.96 2.07 1.00 0.71 0.99 2.70
Southern Africa 0.68 1.52 0.01 2.20 0.15 0.34 0.00 0.50 0.83 1.86 0.01 2.70
Eurasia 1.41 0.64 0.21 2.25 0.22 0.27 0.00 0.49 1.62 0.91 0.21 2.74
Poland 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10
Canada 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.27 0.54 0.19 0.99 0.48 0.54 0.19 1.20
China 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.66 0.00 0.66
South Americad 2.02 0.46 2.06 4.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.02 0.46 2.06 4.53
Vietnam 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.24
Indonesiae 0.00 6.52 0.22 6.74 0.01 0.49 0.00 0.50 0.01 7.01 0.22 7.24
Total 4.85 17.75 2.52 25.12 1.61 6.62 1.88 10.10 6.46 24.37 4.39 35.22

aCoal flows to Europe/Mediterranean include shipments to the Middle East and Africa.
bIn 2009, total world coal flows includes a balancing item term used to reconcile discrepancies between reported exports and imports. For 2009, the balancing items by coal type were: steam, 0.1 quadrillion Btu; coking, 0.01 quadrillion Btu; and total, 0.11 quadrillion Btu.
cIncludes 0.8 quadrillion Btu of coal for pulverized coal injection at blast furnaces shipped to Asian steelmakers in 2009.
dCoal exports from South America are projected to originate from Colombia and Venezuela.
eIn 2009, coal exports from Indonesia include shipments from other countries not modeled for the forecast period. For 2009, these non-Indonesianexports by coal type were: steam, 0.09 quadrillion Btu; coking, 0.02 quadrillion Btu; and total, 0.12 quadrillion Btu.
Sources: SSY Consultancy and Research Ltd, SSY's Coal Trade Forecast, Vol. 18, No. 4 (London, United Kingdom, July 2010); and EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2009, DOE/EIA-0121(2009/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2010). 2020 and 2035: EIA, IEO2011 National Energy Modeling System, run IEO2011.D050311A.

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