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International Energy Outlook 2013

Release Date: July 25, 2013   |  Next Release Date: July 2014   |  correction |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2013)

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Table 7. World natural gas production by region and country in the Reference case, 2010-2040
million barrels per day
  History Projections
Region/country 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual percent change, 2010-2040
OECD                
United Statesa 21.2 23.9 26.5 28.4 29.7 31.3 33.1 1.5
Canada 5.4 5.0 5.4 5.9 6.4 7.0 7.6 1.1
Europe 10.4 9.0 8.1 8.0 8.6 9.2 9.9 -0.2
Australia/New Zealand 1.9 2.7 3.8 4.9 5.6 6.2 6.7 4.3
Rest of OECD 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.3 3.0 3.8 2.1
Total OECD 41.0 42.3 45.6 49.1 52.5 56.7 61.2 1.3
Non-OECD                
Russia 20.9 21.6 23.6 26.3 29.4 32.1 33.3 1.6
Europe and Central Asia 5.8 7.4 8.4 9.3 10.3 11.4 12.3 2.6
Iran 5.2 6.4 7.5 8.5 9.4 10.1 10.6 2.4
Qatar 3.4 6.0 6.9 7.3 7.6 7.9 8.3 3.0
Rest of Middle East 7.3 7.7 8.4 9.5 10.5 11.4 12.6 1.8
North Africa 5.8 5.7 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.8 7.4 0.8
Rest of Africa 1.6 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.6 6.3 4.8
China 3.3 3.8 4.2 5.2 6.7 8.5 10.1 3.8
Rest of Asia 11.5 11.1 11.4 11.8 12.5 13.5 14.4 0.8
Central and South America 5.4 6.4 7.4 7.9 8.5 9.5 10.4 2.2
Total non-OECD 70.2 78.5 87.1 96.0 106.2 116.8 125.6 2.0
Total world 111.1 120.8 132.7 145.1 158.7 173.5 186.8 1.7
Discrepancyb -1.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.6  
aIncludes supplemental production, less any forecast discrepancy.
bBalancing item. Differences between global production and consumption totals result from independent rounding and differences in conversion factors derived from heat contents of natural gas that is produced and consumed regionally.
Source: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2012), www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2013); and EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013, DOE/EIA-0383(2013) (Washington, DC: April 2013) National Energy Modeling System, run REF2013.D102312A, www.eia.gov/aeo.