‹ IEO Home

International Energy Outlook 2014

Release Date: September 9, 2014   |  Next Release Date: September 2015   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2014)

‹ back to Chapter 2
Table 3. World liquid fuels production in the Reference case, 2010-2040
million barrels per day
Source 2010 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual
percent change
2010-2040
OPEC 34.9 38.4 40.0 42.5 45.7 48.9 1.1
Petroleum liquidsa 34.8 38.2 39.7 42.2 45.4 48.7 1.1
Coal-to-liquids 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Gas-to-liquids 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 12.5
Kerogen 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Biofuelsb 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Non-OPECc 51.8 58.2 60.3 61.9 63.7 66.0 0.8
Petroleum liquidsa 50.2 55.8 57.5 58.6 59.9 61.7 0.7
Coal-to-liquids 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 6.7
Gas-to-liquids 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 5.2
Kerogen 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Biofuelsb 1.3 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.7
World 86.6 96.6 100.2 104.4 109.4 115.0 0.9
Petroleum liquidsa 85.1 94.0 97.2 100.9 105.3 110.4 0.9
Coal-to-liquids 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 6.7
Gas-to-liquids 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 7.3
Kerogen 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 --
Biofuelsb 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.6
aIncludes crude oil and lease condensate, NGPL, bitumen (oil sands), extra-heavy oil, and refinery gain.
bEthanol volumes are reported on a gasoline-equivalent basis.
cIncludes some U.S. petroleum product stock withdrawals, domestic sources of blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.
Source: EIA, Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels Analysis. Projections: EIA, Generate World Oil Balance application (2013).