‹ Analysis & Projections
International Energy Outlook 2011
Release Date: September 19, 2011 | Next Scheduled Release Date: July 2013 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2011)
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| Table 3. World liquid fuels production in the Reference case, 2008-2035 (million barrels per day) |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source | 2008 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | Average annual percent change 2008-2035 |
| OPEC | |||||||
| Conventional liquidsa | 35.0 | 37.6 | 39.5 | 41.7 | 43.4 | 45.2 | 1.0 |
| Extra-heavy crude oil | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Oil sands (upgraded) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- |
| Coal-to-liquids | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- |
| Gas-to-liquids | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 16.0 |
| Shale oil | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- |
| Biofuels (physical volume) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- |
| OPEC total | 35.6 | 38.6 | 40.8 | 43.1 | 45.0 | 46.9 | 1.0 |
| Non-OPEC | |||||||
| Conventional liquidsa | 46.8 | 49.6 | 50.3 | 51.9 | 53.1 | 53.9 | 0.5 |
| Extra-heavy crude oil | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 8.5 |
| Oil sands (upgraded) | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Coal-to-liquids | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 9.0 |
| Gas-to-liquids | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Shale oil | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 12.1 |
| Biofuels (physical volume) | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Non-OPEC totalb | 50.0 | 54.7 | 56.8 | 60.1 | 63.0 | 65.3 | 1.0 |
| World | |||||||
| Conventional liquidsa | 81.7 | 87.2 | 89.8 | 93.6 | 96.5 | 99.1 | 0.7 |
| Extra-heavy crude oil | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Oil sands (upgraded) | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Coal-to-liquids | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 9.0 |
| Gas-to-liquids | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 7.4 |
| Shale oil | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 12.1 |
| Biofuels (physical volume) | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| World total | 85.7 | 93.3 | 97.6 | 103.2 | 108.0 | 112.2 | 1.0 |
aIncludes conventional crude oil and lease condensate, natural gas plant liquids (NGPL), and refinery gain. |
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