The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview provides a summary description of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which was used to generate the forecasts of energy production, demand, imports, and prices through the year 2020 for the Annual Energy Outlook 2000 (AEO2000), (DOE/EIA-0383(2000)), released in November 1999. AEO2000 presents national forecasts of energy markets for five casesa reference case and four additional cases that assume higher and lower economic growth and higher and lower world oil prices than in the reference case. The Overview presents a brief description of the methodology and scope of each of the component modules of NEMS. The model documentation reports listed in the appendix of this document provide further details.
The Overview was prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting under the direction of Mary J. Hutzler (email@example.com, 202/586-2222), Director of the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting; Susan H. Holte (firstname.lastname@example.org, 202/586-4838), Director of the Demand and Integration Division; James M. Kendell (email@example.com, 202/586-9646), Director of the Oil and Gas Division; Scott Sitzer (firstname.lastname@example.org, 202/586-2308), Director of the Coal and Electric Power Division; and Andy S. Kydes (email@example.com, 202/586-2222), Senior Technical Advisor. Detailed questions concerning NEMS may be addressed to the following analysts:
AEO2000 is available on the EIA Home Page on the Internet (http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html). Assumptions underlying the projections are available in Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2000 at http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/assumption/index.html. Tables of regional projections and other underlying details of the reference case are available at http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/supplement/index.html. Model documentation reports and The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview are also available on the Home Page at http://www.eia.gov/bookshelf/docs.html.
For ordering information and for questions on energy statistics, please contact EIAs National Energy Information Center.
National Energy Information Center, EI-30
File last modified: April 7, 2000
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