‹ Analysis & Projections

Annual Energy Outlook 2014

Release Date: May 7, 2014   |  Next Early Release Date: December 2014   |  See schedule  |  full report

Comparison with other projections

Table 8. Comparisons of average annual economic growth projections,
2011-2040
  Average annual percentage growth rates
Projection 2011-2015 2011-2025 2025-2040 2011-2040
AEO2013 (Reference case) 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.5
AEO2012 (Reference case)a 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6
IHS Global Insight (August 2012 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5
OMB (January 2013)a 2.2 2.8 -- --
CBO (February 2013)a 2.6 2.7 -- --
NFORUM (November 2012) 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.5
Social Security Administration (August 2012) 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.4
IEA (2012)b 2.5 2.6 -- 2.4
Blue Chip Consensus (October 2012)a 2.4 2.5 -- --
Exxon/Mobil -- 2.5 2.2 2.4
ICF International -- -- -- 2.6
Oxford Economics Group (January 2013) 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6
-- = not reported or not applicable.
a OMB, CBO, and Blue Chip forecasts end in 2022, and growth rates cited are for 2011-2022. AEO2012 projections end in 2035, and growth rates cited are for 2011-2035.
b IEA publishes U.S. growth rates for certain intervals: 2010-2015 growth is 2.5 percent, 2010-2020 growth is 2.6 percent, and 2010-2035 growth is 2.4 percent.