‹ Analysis & Projections
Annual Energy Outlook 2013
Release Dates: April 15 - May 2, 2013 | Next Early Release Date: December 2013 | | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2013)
Issues in focus
| Transportation mode | Reference | Low/No Net Imports | High Net Imports |
|---|---|---|---|
| Light-duty vehicles | |||
| Vehicle miles traveled (compound annual growth rate, 2011-2040) | 1.2% | 0.2% | 11% |
| Vehicle technology efficiency in 2040 | Baseline | Baseline + 10% | Baseline - 10% |
| Vehicle technology cost in 2040 | Baseline | Baseline - 10% | Baseline + 10% |
| CAFE standard compliance value in 2040 (miles per gallon) | 49.0 | 57.7 | 39.9 |
| Flex-fuel vehicle stock in 2040 (millions) | 20.9 | 44.3 | 20.0 |
| Batter-electric vehicle costs | Baseline | Baseline - 14% | Baseline |
| Heavy-duty vehicles | |||
| Vehicle technology efficiency in 2040 | Baseline | Baseline + 10% | Baseline - 10% |
| vehicle technology cost in 2040 | Baseline | Baseline - 10% | Baseline + 10% |
| Potential market share for natural gas fuel | 27% | 41% | 27% |
| Marine | |||
| Efficiency (ton-miles per thousand Btu) | 2.55 | 2.66 | 2.41 |
| Potential market share for natural gas fuel | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| Rail | |||
| Efficiency (ton-miles per thousand Btu) | 3.54 | 3.70 | 3.44 |
| Potential market share for natural gas fuel | 0% | 100% | 0% |