Annual Energy Outlook 2013
Release Dates: April 15 - May 2, 2013 | Next Early Release Date: December 2013 | | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2013)
Comparison with other projections
| Other projections | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | 2011 | AEO2013 Reference case |
IHSGI | EVA | ICF | ExxonMobil | INFORUM |
| 2025 | |||||||
| Dry gas productiona | 23.00 | 28.59 | 32.29 | 29.86b | 32.39 | -- | 26.26 |
| Net imports | 1.95 | -1.58 | -1.45 | 1.05 | -0.63 | -- | -- |
| Pipeline | 1.67 | -0.52 | -- | 2.21 | 0.60 | -- | -- |
| LNG | 0.28 | -1.06 | -- | -1.16 | -1.23 | -- | -- |
| Consumption | 24.37 | 26.87 | 30.87 | 31.49 | 30.34c | 29.00c | 23.61d |
| Residential | 4.72 | 4.44 | 4.58 | 4.98 | 5.05 | 7.00f | 4.84 |
| Commercial | 3.16 | 3.35 | 3.23 | 3.33 | 3.01 | -- | 3.42 |
| Industrialf | 6.77 | 7.82 | 7.31 | 8.23 | 8.79 | 9.00 | 7.07 |
| Electricity generatorsg | 7.60 | 8.45 | 12.57 | 11.75 | 10.83 | 13.00 | 8.28 |
| Othersh | 2.11 | 2.81 | 3.19 | 3.20 | 2.66 | 0.00i | -- |
| Henry Hub spot market price (2011 dollars per million Btu) | 3.98 | 4.87 | 4.39 | 6.34 | 5.02 | -- | -- |
| End-use prices (2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet) | |||||||
| Residential | 11.05 | 12.97 | 11.16 | -- | 11.51 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 9.04 | 10.43 | 9.27 | -- | 9.50 | -- | -- |
| Industrialj | 5.00 | 6.29 | 6.42 | -- | 5.88 | -- | -- |
| Electricity generators | 4.87 | 5.70 | 4.89 | -- | 5.85 | -- | -- |
| 2035 | |||||||
| Dry gas productiona | 23.00 | 31.35 | 36.07 | 31.44b | 35.46 | -- | 27.91 |
| Net imports | 1.95 | -2.55 | -1.18 | 2.62 | -0.72 | -- | -- |
| Pipeline | 1.67 | -1.09 | -- | 3.78 | 0.50 | -- | -- |
| LNG | 0.28 | -1.46 | -- | -1.16 | -1.22 | -- | -- |
| Consumption | 24.37 | 28.71 | 34.90 | 34.67 | 33.14c | 30.00c | 24.45d |
| Residential | 4.72 | 4.24 | 4.54 | 4.96 | 5.02 | 7.00f | 4.72 |
| Commercial | 3.16 | 3.51 | 3.30 | 3.47 | 2.84 | -- | 3.57 |
| Industrialf | 6.77 | 8.38 | 6.85 | 8.61 | 9.01 | 8.00 | 6.94 |
| Electricity generatorsg | 7.60 | 9.44 | 16.15 | 13.98 | 13.36 | 15.00 | 9.23 |
| Othersh | 2.11 | 3.68 | 4.06 | 3.65 | 2.91 | 1.00j | -- |
| Henry Hub spot market price (2011 dollars per million Btu) | 3.98 | 6.32 | 4.98 | 8.00 | 6.21 | -- | -- |
| End-use prices (2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet) | |||||||
| Residential | 11.34 | 15.32 | 11.58 | -- | 12.28 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 9.28 | 12.26 | 9.78 | -- | 10.38 | -- | -- |
| Industrialj | 5.13 | 7.82 | 7.02 | -- | 6.98 | -- | -- |
| Electricity generators | 5.00 | 7.32 | 5.48 | -- | 7.03 | -- | -- |
| 2040 | |||||||
| Dry gas productiona | 23.00 | 33.14 | 37.56 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Net imports | 1.95 | -3.55 | -0.95 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Pipeline | 1.67 | -2.09 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| LNG | 0.28 | -1.46 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Consumption | 24.37 | 29.54 | 36.61 | -- | -- | 30.00c | -- |
| Residential | 4.72 | 4.14 | 4.52 | -- | -- | 7.00e | -- |
| Commercial | 3.16 | 3.60 | 3.29 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrialf | 6.77 | 7.90 | 6.68 | -- | -- | 8.00 | -- |
| Electricity generatorsg | 7.60 | 9.50 | 17.72 | -- | -- | 15.00 | -- |
| Othersh | 2.11 | 4.40 | 4.40 | -- | -- | 1.00i | -- |
| Henry Hub spot market price (2011 dollars per million Btu) | 3.98 | 7.83 | 5.39 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| End-use prices (2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet) | |||||||
| Residential | 11.05 | 16.74 | 11.81 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 9.04 | 13.52 | 10.02 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrialk | 5.00 | 9.09 | 7.32 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Electricity generators | 4.87 | 8.55 | 5.83 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
-- = not reported. |
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