Home
> Forecast & Analysis
> Short-Term Energy Outlook
> Analysis Articles and Model Documentation
Short-Term Energy Outlook – Analysis Articles and Model Documentation
Feature Articles
- The 2010 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2010 (PDF file)
- Probabilities of Possible Future Prices April 2010 (PDF File)
- Outlook for non-OPEC Oil Supply in 2010-2011 January 2010 (PDF File)
- Understanding the Decline in CO2 Emissions in 2009
October 2009 (PDF File)
- Energy Price Volatility and Forecast Uncertainty October 2009 (PDF File)
- The 2009 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2009 (PDF file)
- The Implications of Lower Natural Gas Prices for Electric Generators in the Southest May 2009 (PDF file)
- Biodiesel Supply and Consumption April 2009 (PDF File)
- The 2008 Outlook for Hurricane Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico June 2008 (PDF file)
- Motor Gasoline Consumption 2008: A Historical Perspective and Short-Term Projections April 2008 (PDF file)
- Outlook for Non-OPEC Oil Supply Growth in 2008-2009 February 2008 (PDF file)
- Why Are Oil Prices So High? November 2007 (PDF file)
- Natural Gas in the Rocky Mountains: Developing Infrastructure September 2007 (PDF file)
- The 2007 Outlook for Hurricane Impacts on Gulf of Mexico Crude Oil & Natural Gas Production June 2007 (PDF file)
- U.S. LNG Imports – The Next Wave January 2007 (PDF file)
- Why are oil prices so high? August 2006 (PDF file)
- Summer 2006 Motor Gasoline Prices July 2006 (PDF file)
- The Impact Of Tropical Cyclones on Gulf of Mexico Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production June 2006 (PDF file)
- Final Reduced Form Energy Model Elasticities fromEIA's Regional Short-Term Energy Model (RSTEM) May 2006 (PDF file)
- Motor Gasoline Outlook and State MTBE Bans April 2003 (HTML file)
- Interim Data Changes in the Short-term Energy Outlook Data Systems Related to Electric Power Sector and Natural Gas Demand Data Revisions December 2002 (PDF file)
- Electricity Shortage in California: Issues for Petroleum and Natural Gas Supply June 2001 (HTML file)
- MTBE Production Economics April 2001 (HTML file)
- MTBE, Oxygenates, and Motor Gasoline, October 1999 (HTML file)
- The Impact of Temperature Trends on Short-Term Energy Demand, September 1999 (PDF file)
- Demand and Price Outlook for Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline, 2000, April 1999--August 1999 Update (HTML file)
- Areas Participating in the Oxygenated Gasoline Program, July 1999 (HTML file)
- Areas Participating in the Reformulated Gasoline Program, June 1999 (HTML file)
- Environmental Regulations and Changes in Petroleum Refining Operations, June 1998 (HTML file)
- Oxygenate Supply/Demand Balances in the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting Model, March 1998 (HTML file)
- Refiners Switch to RFG Complex Model, January 1998 (HTML file)
- Reformulated Gasoline Foreign Refinery Rules, January 1998 (HTML file)
- Recent Trends in Motor Gasoline Stock Levels, June 1996 (PDF file)
- U.S. Refining Capacity Utilization, October 1995 (PDF file)
- Demand, Supply, and Price Outlook for Reformulated Motor Gasoline, 1995, July 1994 (PDF file)
- Demand, Supply, and Price Outlook for Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel, August 1993 (PDF file)
Winter Fuels Outlooks
Beginning October 2005 the Winter Fuels Outlooks were no longer published separately but appear in expanded versions of the October Short-Term Energy Outlook (refer to Previous Outlooks directory
Summer Fuels Outlooks
Beginning April 2006 the Summer Fuels Outlooks were no longer published separately but appear in expanded versions of the April Short-Term Energy Outlook (refer to Previous Outlooks directory
Model Documentation
The Short-Term Energy Outlook Model has been significantly revised to include regional models for natural gas, electricity, motor gasoline, heating oil, and propane. Documentation for these models are currently being reviewed within EIA and by outside experts and will be posted when reviews are complete.
Sign up for email notices to be automatically notified when a new Short-Term Energy Outlook becomes available for on-line viewing.