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Southwest Power Pool (SPP)

Southwest Power Pool (SPP)

Projected Change in Electricity Generation from 1996 for Full Competition Cases
1996-20051996-2015
Projected Change in Electricity Generation, 1996-2005Projected Change in Electricity Generation, 1996-2015
  • Electricity sales are projected to grow between 1.6 and 2.0 percent per year from 1996 through 2015.
  • Coal is the main fuel for the increased generation in 2005. Almost 3 gigawatts of new coal-fired capacity is built, and capacity utilization increases from 70 percent in 1996 to 81 percent in 2005. By 2015, new coal-fired capacity reaches 5 gigawatts.
  • Between 2005 and 2015, natural gas-fired generation increases significantly. By 2015, 17 to 21 gigawatts of new gas-fired combined-cycle units are built to meet the varying levels of electricity demand in the two competitive cases.
  • With the renewable portfolio standard in the low fossil case, generation of electricity from renewable sources is over 3 times the 1996 levels. The growth comes from biomass and wind and reduces the need for increased coal and gas-fired generation.
  • In 2015, natural gas consumption is 0.1 to 0.3 quadrillion Btu above 1996 levels, and coal consumption is by 0.4 to 0.5 quadrillion Btu higher than in 1996.