Southeastern Electric Reliability Council (SERC)
|
 |
Projected Change in Electricity Generation from 1996 for Full Competition Cases |
| 1996-2005 | 1996-2015 |
 |  |
- Electricity sales are projected to grow between 1.7 and 2.1 percent per year from 1996 through 2015.
- Coal-fired generation increases as a result of the higher utilization of existing power plants (64 percent capacity factor in 1996 and 81 percent in 2015). In addition, 4.5 gigawatts of new coal-fired capacity is built in 2015 to replace nuclear power plants retired early in the high fossil case.
- New gas turbines provide the increased generation from natural gas in 2005. By 2015, additional combustion turbines and combined-cycle units are built to meet demand.
- The renewable portfolio standard leads to increased generation from biomass resources and wind in the low fossil case.
- In 2015, natural gas consumption is by 1.0 to 1.5 quadrillion Btu above 1996 levels, and coal consumption is 0.6 to 0.9 quadrillion Btu higher than in 1996.
|
