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Northeast Power Coordinating Council - New England Region (NPCC-NE)

Northeast Power Coordinating Council - New England Region (NPCC-NE)

Projected Change in Electricity Generation from 1996 for Full Competition Cases
1996-20051996-2015
Projected Change in Electricity Generation, 1996-2005Projected Change in Electricity Generation, 1996-2015
  • Electricity sales are projected to grow between 0.9 and 1.4 percent per year from 1996 through 2015.
  • Gas-fired generation is projected to increase to replace power from retired coal, oil, and nuclear units and meet increased demand for electricity.
  • The higher demand in the high fossil case results in fewer retirements of oil-fired power plants and a small increase in capacity utilization for existing coal-fired power plants.
  • The assumed early retirement of nuclear plants in the high fossil case results in a decline in the nuclear share of total generation from over 30 percent in 1996 to 20 percent in 2005.
  • In 2015, natural gas consumption is 0.5 quadrillion Btu higher than the 1996 level, whereas coal consumption is 0.01 to 0.05 quadrillion Btu lower than in 1996.