Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
Projected Change in Electricity Generation from 1996 for Full Competition Cases
1996-2005	1996-2015

• Electricity sales are projected to grow between 1.7 and 2.1 percent per year from 1996 through 2015.
• Four planned coal units (2.4 gigawatts), scheduled for completion between 2000 and 2006, account for most of the increase in coal-fired generation.
• The increase in gas-fired generation is lower in the low fossil case because of the growth of renewable sources (wind) when a renewable portfolio standard is assumed, as well as the difference in demand for electricity.
• In 2015, natural gas consumption is between 0.2 and 0.4 quadrillion Btu higher than 1996 levels. Coal consumption is approximately 0.3 quadrillion Btu higher than in 1996.